The Central Statistics Office's latest data has projected that India’s economy is set to grow by 5% in 2012-13, the worst since 2002-03, confirming fears of a widespread slowdown caused by low demand and investment.
Demand-side data indicate that private consumption and government expenditure will likely grow at a much weaker pace, investment activity will stay weak and import growth fall much more than export growth.
Despite the crisis, experts are optimistic on a turnaround.
“Based on our prognosis that non-agricultural GDP growth likely bottomed out in Jul-Sep 2012 and agricultural growth is also likely to be stronger because of a bumper winter crop, we expect GDP growth to be finally revised to 5.3% in 2012-13,” said Sonal Varma of broking and research firm Nomura.