iconimg Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Reuters
New Delhi, February 27, 2013
The finance ministry delivered a report on the state of the economy on Wednesday, a day before finance minister P Chidambaram unveils what is expected to be the most austere budget in years. The annual report was prepared by Raghuram Rajan, the former chief economist to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) who became the top adviser in the finance ministry last year.

Following are highlights of the report:

GROWTH

* GDP growth seen at 6.1-6.7 pct in 2013/14


FISCAL DEFICIT

* India likely to meet fiscal deficit target of 5.3 pct of GDP in 2012/13, despite "significant" shortfall in revenues

* Government target for fiscal deficit is 4.8 pct of GDP in 2013/14

* Government target for fiscal deficit is 3 pct of GDP in 2016/17

* Prioritisation of expenditure seen as key ingredient of credible medium-term fiscal consolidation plan

* Raising tax to GDP ratio to more than 11 pct seen as critical for sustaining fiscal consolidation

* Room for accommodative monetary policy with expected fiscal consolidation


INFLATION

* Headline inflation may decline to 6.2-6.6 pct by March


CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT

* Focus on curbing imports, making oil prices more market determined to reign in current account deficit

* Recommends curbing gold imports to reign in current account deficit

* Room to increase exports in the short run limited


FOREIGN INFLOWS

* Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) flows need to be targeted towards long-term rupee instruments


SECTOR GROWTH

* Industrial output seen growing around 3 pct in 2012/13