Why BJP is a winner: At 78%, Modi’s overall strike rate this election trumps Rahul Gandhi’s 22%
Data shows the BJP rode on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s shoulders to storm to power in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. In contrast, Gandhi couldn’t convince enough voters to back his party.assembly elections Updated: Mar 14, 2017 10:22 IST
If five voters went to a rally each by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi during the recently concluded assembly polls, chances are four voted for the BJP and allies, and only one for the Congress and partners.
Data shows the BJP rode on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s shoulders to storm to power in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. In contrast, Gandhi couldn’t convince enough voters to back his party.
In India’s largest state, Modi addressed 23 rallies and held two roadshows covering 118 of a total of 403 assembly seats. And the BJP won 99 of them. The Apna Dal, an ally of the BJP, also won three of these seats. That’s a total strike rate of 86.4%.
The same figures for Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi is a study in contrasts. The 45-year-old addressed 54 rallies covering 46 assembly constituencies. But the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance won just seven of these – a poor strike rate of just 15%. In fact, the BJP won 38 of these, a win rate of 82%.
In Punjab – where the Congress swept to a two-thirds majority – the prime minister covered 10 seats and the Akali Dal-BJP combine won four of them – a strike rate of 40%. But despite a thumping victory, Gandhi’s win rate – seven of 15 constituencies covered – of 46% wasn’t much better.
In Uttarakhand – where the incumbent Congress was crushed – Modi addressed 25 rallies and his party won 20, a strike rate of 80%. All five constituencies Rahul campaigned in Uttarakhand went to the BJP.
In Manipur – where the two national parties were neck-and neck – the BJP won 13 out of 26 seats the PM covered in his rallies, a strike rate of 50%. The saffron party bagged the lone seat where Gandhi campaigned.
In Goa, the BJP won the sole seat Modi campaigned in. For Gandhi, the strike rate was 50% with the national parties splitting a seat each.
In total across the five states, Modi covered 180 seats and his party and allies won 140. That’s a nationwide strike rate of 78%.
Gandhi campaigned across 69 constituencies and the Congress and partners won just 15 – a strike rate of 22%. The numbers tell the story of this election.
(With data inputs from Abhinash Jha and Piyush Aggarwal)