Live exit polls: BJP to oust Cong in Assam, TMC will retain Bengal

  • HT Correspondent, Hindustan Times, New Delhi
  • Updated: May 16, 2016 20:22 IST
An electoral official marks the finger of a voter with ink at a polling station in Chennai on May 16 during voting in state assembly elections in Tamil Nadu. (AFP Photo)

The BJP will for the first time win power in Assam and AIADMK veteran J Jayalalithaa will be ousted in Tamil Nadu, according to most television exit polls on Monday.

West Bengal will stay with Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress party and the Left Front will return to power in Kerala, the polls said.

The India Today-Axis exit poll gave 79-93 seats to the Bharatiya Janata Party combine in Assam, 26-33 to the Congress and 6-10 to the All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF).

The ABP Ananda predicted 81 seats to the BJP coalition, 33 to the Congress and 10 to the AIUDF.

With growing scepticism about Modi’s popular appeal and party chief Amit Shah’s image as a master electoral strategist, the BJP is desperate to win in Assam. If the Congress loses power in the state, the BJP’s call for a ‘Congress-free Bharat’ will become shriller and might gain further traction


Party/Alliance India Today-Axis ABP Ananda Times Now-CVoter Chanakya
Congress 26-33 33 41 20-34
BJP+ 79-93 81 57 81-99
AIUDF 06-10 10 18 06-12
Others 01-04 02 10 00-02
Total seats 126 126 126 126

The ruling Trinamool Congress led by Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee will retain power in West Bengal with a slightly reduced majority.

ABP Ananda predicted that the Trinamool was poised to get 178 of the 294 seats -- it had 184 in the outgoing assembly -- while the Left-Congress combine would get 110. The BJP would get one seat while others would bag five seats.

CVoter predicted 167 seats for the Trinamool, 75 for the Left, 45 for the Congress, four to the BJP and three to others.

West Bengal

Party/Alliance ABP Ananda Times Now-CVoter India Today-Axis Chanakya News Nation
Trinamool Congress 163 167 233-253 210 153
Left+Congress 126 120 38-51 70 136
BJP 01 04 01-05 14 00
Others 04 03 02-05 00 03
Total seats 294 294 294 294 294

Around 40 million voted in Tamil Nadu, which saw multiple contests in all constituencies for the first time. The ruling AIADMK is pitted against the DMK-Congress alliance, a front led by the DMDK of actor-turned-politician Vijaykanth, the PMK and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Polling in two of the 234 constituencies has been postponed.

Tamil Nadu

Party/Alliance News Nation India Today-Axis Times Now-CVoter
AIADMK 95-99 89-101 139
DMK+ 114-118 124-140 78
DMDK+ 14 -- --
BJP+ 04 00-03 00
Others 09 04-08 17
Total seats 234 234 234

The Left is set to return to power in Kerala, the exit polls predicted.


Party-Alliance India Today-Axis Times Now-CVoter News Nation
LDF 88-101 78 67-71
UDF 38-48 58 68-72
BJP+ 00-03 02 00-02
Others 01-04 02 00
Total seats 140 140 140

The DMK-led alliance is set to win 15-21 seats in the 30-member Puducherry assembly. The ruling All India NR Congress (AINRC) would get 8-12 seats, the AIADMK 1-4 seats and others two seats, India Today-Axis said.


Party/Alliance Times Now-CVoter India Today-Axis
Congress+DMK 14 15-21
AINRC 09 08-12
AIADMK 05 01-04
BJP 00 00
Others 02 00-02
Total seats 30 30

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