With the cyclonic storm Ashobaa over Arabian Sea starting to move away from India, monsoon is likely to become active again in two to four days and strike southern tip of the state in a week, the MeT office has said.
"Given the present weather conditions, monsoon might strike the state anytime between June 16 and 18 - latest by June 19," director of Regional Meteorological Centre Anupam Kashyapi told HT.
Consequently, the current hot and humid weather is likely to give way to more comfortable conditions in the next two to three days as heat wave in north MP would abate and dust storms and thundershowers would be experienced in many parts of state, including Bhopal and Indore, the director said.
Currently, only some parts of south MP are experiencing isolated thundershowers.
The indication of weather getting milder came in the form of decrease in day temperature in the capital and other places of state except pockets of north MP. Bhopal recorded maximum temperature of 40.4°C - exactly two degrees less than maximum of Monday.
In Indore, it slumped further to 34.6°C (four degrees below normal mark).
Explaining the monsoon movement, the director mentioned that Ashobaa that pulled out moisture and halted the march of monsoon is moving out towards Oman and further away from India.
By Wednesday morning it would intensify into a severe cyclonic storm but its impact on India would reduce.
The director further said fortunately Ashobaa did not dry away the moisture in Arabian Sea as expected and experienced during the last year's cyclonic storm Nanauk. Cloud mass is still present over the sea.
The monsoon is expected to cover entire MP between June 22 and 24, latest by June 26, the MeT director said.
Not a single drop
Not a single drop of rainfall has been received in 30 out of 50 districts in MP since the official start of rainy season on June 1.
Indore and Bhopal are among these 30 dry districts. The MeT office has attributed this situation to complete lack of pre-monsoon showers in most parts of state.
From June 1 till 9, the state should have recorded average 13mm of rainfall, but has received only 2.5mm instead, a shortfall of 81%.