Even as residents of Madhya Pradesh are trying to cope up with the unusually warm days, weathermen are expecting this November to be one of the warmest in last several years given the trend of temperatures witnessed during first fortnight of the month.
“Day temperatures are likely to show a considerable dip only after a week and by month end the maximum temperatures might settle at around 30 degrees Celsius mark. But overall the temperatures, especially during daytime, are remaining quite high and this might turn out to be one of the warmest Novembers in last 15-20 years,” director of Regional Meteorological Centre (RMC), Bhopal, Anupam Kashyapi told HT.
Records of the RMC show that in most parts of the state including the capital, both day and night temperatures have remained well over the normal mark right from beginning of the month. During the last three days, the night temperatures have gone down partially but yet they are over the normal mark.
Days quite hot as temperatures remain well over normal
The main issue is about day temperatures that have consistently remained between 32-35 degrees - three to five degrees over the normal mark.
On the ground, citizens of Bhopal and many other parts of the state are facing quite warm days.
“Sun shines harshly throughout the day making weather uncomfortable. Though nights are chilly in the second half, cold conditions expected in November are hardly being felt,” Sangeeta Agrawal, a teacher residing in Jawahar Chowk said.
According to RMC records, the daytime maximum temperatures in Bhopal during November normally vary from 33 degrees during initial days of the month to about 25 degrees by month end. Similarly, the minimum night temperatures vary from 16 to 10 degrees Celsius.
But this year, maximum temperature in Bhopal has remained stuck around 32-33 degrees during the entire first fortnight while the minimum temperature is hovering in the range of 17-19 degrees. Similar temperatures are being experienced in other parts of state too.
El Nino conditions responsible for warm weather
RMC director Kashyapi attributed the high temperatures due to the impact of strong El Nino conditions prevailing in Indian subcontinent.
Locally, development of western disturbances that are passing over northern parts of the country is causing the temperatures to remain high.
“However northerly component, though weak, has developed in the wind and a weather system in south India is likely to cause some clouding in southern MP after three or four days. These two factors might lead to dip in day temperatures after a week,” the director said.
(In degrees Celsius; figures in bracket indicate deviation from normal)
Date Max Min
Nov 10 33.1 (+3) 19.0 (+2)
Nov 11 32.5 (+3) 19.4 (+4)
Nov 12 32.3 (+2) 19.2 (+4)
Nov 13 32.8 (+3) 17.2 (+2)
Nov 14 32.3 (+2) 17.2 (+2)
Nov 15 33.4 (+3) 17.3 (+2)
Nov 16 32.9 (+3) 17.4 (+2)