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Growth will be below 7.5%, says Pranab

IANS  New Delhi, January 18, 2012
First Published: 15:27 IST(18/1/2012) | Last Updated: 15:29 IST(18/1/2012)

Economic growth will fall below 7.5% in the current financial year and it would be a "major challenge" to meet the fiscal deficit target of 4.6% of the Gross Domestic Prpduct (GDP), finance minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Wednesday.

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"Performance during the first half on the fiscal front poses some risks in both receipts as well as expenditure estimates. Therefore, adhering to the fiscal deficit target of 4.6% of GDP in 2011-12 will be a major challenge," Mukherjee said.

The finance minister said there were major concerns on the central government's financial health in the current fiscal as receipts as well as expenditure were unlikely to be as per the budgetary plan.

"We have a difficult last quarter ahead of us in this fiscal year. Our growth for 2011-12 may be around 7.5% or less," Mukherjee said while addressing the 84th annual general meeting of the Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) here.

In Budget for 2011-12, the finance minister had set a fiscal deficit target of 4.6% of the GDP and economic growth target of around 9%.

Now, both these targets are unlikely to be met. In fact, GDP growth fell to 7.5% in the first half of the year. It was recorded at 6.9% in July-September quarter.

Mukherjee expressed hope that the things were likely to improve in the coming months as there had been a significant turnaround on industrial production easing in inflationary pressure.

"There are some clear signs of inflation moderating in the coming months and industrial production is also showing signs of pick-up while services and agriculture retained their growth momentum," he said.

After remaining near double-digit for almost two years, inflation fell to 7.47% in December.

Mukherjee said inflation will fall in the range of 6-7% by the end of March.


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