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Manufacturing growth may moderate in Q3: Survey

Rising raw material costs and lower order books are expected to affect the growth of the manufacturing sector during the third quarter of the current fiscal, a Ficci survey revealed today.

business Updated: Dec 11, 2011 10:20 IST

Rising raw material costs and lower order books are expected to affect the growth of the manufacturing sector during the third quarter of the current fiscal, a Ficci survey revealed on Sunday.

"Ficci's quarterly survey on manufacturing projects continued moderation in growth for the sector. This slowdown is a result of lower order books, moderate export growth and rising raw material costs," the chamber said in a statement.

Out of 384 companies which participated in the survey, 87% said they expected growth to moderate in the sector in October-December period of 2011-12, compared to the same period last year.

The survey noted that demand conditions have worsened for the manufacturing sector in the third quarter compared to the previous quarters.

Over 65% participants said they are not planning to increase workforce in the next three months, it said.

A significant fall in capacity utilisation is also expected during the quarter, it said, adding that the capacity utilisation levels are particularly low in sectors like textiles, consumer electronics and electricals.

Only 32% respondents said they are planning capacity addition. "In the previous quarter, 41% reported plans for capacity addition in the next six months."

The survey also said the growth of manufacturing exports are expected to moderate in the third quarter.

Further it stated that sectors which are expected to witness low growth during the quarter include cement, steel, textiles, chemicals, capital goods and electricals.

"The slowdown is a result of moderation in consumer demand, rise in raw material prices and weakening of the export market," Ficci said.

Output of the manufacturing sector, which constitutes over 75% of the index of industrial production, grew only 2.1% in September, compared to 6.9% expansion in the same month last year.