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Sensex kisses 17,000, slips

business Updated: Sep 26, 2007 21:07 IST
MC Vaijayanthi & Agencies
MC Vaijayanthi & Agencies
Hindustan Times
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Indian stocks remained on their record-breaking run on Wednesday with the benchmark Sensex of the Bombay Stock Exchange breaching the 17,000 mark for the first time in its fastest 1,000-point rally as foreign funds stepped up purchases of Indian equities.

The 30-share index, however, failed to hold on to early gains and closed at 16,921.39, still up by 21.85 points from its previous close, as investors booked profit.

The Sensex crossed the 17,000-point level, covering the last 1,000 points in just six trading sessions. It touched an intra-day high of 17,073.87, and a low of 16,887.07 points. The broader Nifty of the National Stock Exchange also closed higher by 1.65 points at 4,940.50, after touching a record high of 4,980.85 and day's low of 4,930.35 points.

A steep fall in Reliance Industries, the country's biggest firm by market value, mainly drove the Sensex down. The RIL scrip, which has a weightage of around 15 per cent on the Sensex, fell after reports that the company may put on hold investment plans to expand its retail venture in Uttar Pradesh.

The oil and gas index dropped 160.57 points at 9,616.94, followed by the realty index by 112.09 points at 8,973.38. The capital goods index lost 109.26 points at 14,654.35 and the auto index ended lower by 35 points at 5,215.27.

Major support for the market came in from the bankex, which rose 172.82 points at 9,117.80 as the IT and PSU indices also gained.

Amid the euphoria in the markets, some analysts warned caution and said the markets should consolidate now. However, analysts have also said that both short-term and long-term outlook for the markets were strong as the economy is in good shape and second quarter results are expected to be robust.

"The latest 1,000 point rally has been very fast. But markets should consolidate and settle down at these levels," said SP Tulsian of Premium Investments.

One major factor behind the six-session, 1,000-point sprint by the Sensex has been strong liquidity and short covering for the futures and options rollover, analysts said, adding that investors should be cautious in their investments after the Sensex's climb to newer heights.

"The 17,000 mark is a danger signal. This shows that something is not correct fundamentally. This dizzying level should be viewed with caution," said Arun Kejriwal of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services.

Terming the 17,000-point level as a psychological level, Asika Stock Brokers' Paras Bodhra said, "it is better if the market consolidates for the time being. It should take a breather."

Going forward, the markets could witness a correction of around 500 to 1,500 points from the present 17K level, analysts said, even as the long-term outlook remains bullish. Regarding Reliance Industries, which contributed significantly to the day's rally driven by its strong fundamentals, Bodhra said: "Reliance will always be the leader. The scrip has good operational capabilities."

The other main drivers were Bharti Airtel and ICICI Bank. All these stocks offer good value and foreign investors want safety as well as gain for their investments, Tulsian added.

Mumbai-based analyst Rajeev Sampat said: "The speed with which the markets have gone up is because we are seeing a huge flow from foreign funds. India is one of the safest havens among the emerging markets."

Analysts expect the Reserve Bank of India, which has repeatedly increased lending rates over year and a half, to eventually loosen its monetary policy. That speculation has lifted banking stocks and shares other companies whose sales are driven by lower lending rates.