Congress will have an edge over Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2008 assembly polls as well. Although, compared to the 2003 polls, its vote share will decline six per cent compared to the BJP’s. These are the findings of the first phase of an opinion poll for the 2008 assembly elections conducted by AC Nielsen for Star News.
According to the survey, Congress will be ahead in 38 of the 70 seats — a drop of nine seats — compared to 2003, while BJP will get 29 seats — an increase of nine seats.
The report also said that there has been a negative swing of six per cent for Congress as compared to the 2003 elections, while BJP has a 4.2 percent upswing.
The poll took a sample from 31 assembly constituencies with a sample size of 6,248.
The poll also found that though Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) will not win any seats in the Capital, it will cut into the votes of both BJP and Congress, and will get 10 per cent of the total vote share. Others, including independents, will get three seats.
Delhi State BJP president, Dr Harsh Vardhan, however, called the results of the opinion polls misleading. “The opinion poll results do not match with ground reality. There is a gross mismatch between the findings of the report and what the people of Delhi want. Every day, we go out to canvass people tell us that they want change. The results of the assembly poll, which will come out on December 8, will prove that this survey is miles away from reality,” said Dr Harsh Vardhan.
Reacting to the opinion poll report, Delhi chief minister, Sheila Dikshit said, “The report has reiterated what we have been saying for so long. But one should keep in mind that the poll has been conducted before names of all the 70 candidates have been announced. The real picture will only emerge after candidates from both Congress and BJP are declared and campaigning picks up by next week.”
The survey also found 37 per cent of the respondents favouring Sheila Dikshit as the most suitable candidate for chief minister, as compared to BJP’s CM candidate, VK Malhotra (14 per cent). Inflation will be the most important poll issue this time as well.