First isolate, then negotiate: How Modi, Jaitley engineered GST deal
It took him more than two years, but Prime Minister Narendra Modi has finally discovered the art of the deal.india Updated: Aug 10, 2016 10:08 IST
It took him more than two years, but Prime Minister Narendra Modi has finally discovered the art of the deal.
Realising that a frontal assault wasn’t securing the votes needed for India’s biggest-ever tax reform, Modi and finance minister Arun Jaitley changed tack this spring, government and ruling party sources have told Reuters.
First, they sought to build a coalition among the nation’s 29 state governments to isolate the Congress party, which despite losing heavily to Modi in 2014 had blocked a new Goods and Services Tax (GST) in the Rajya Sabha.
Then, Jaitley held a series of meetings with Congress leaders whose outcome was uncertain right up to the last minute, sources close to the finance minister said.
He yielded to their demands - accepting, verbatim, a clause they proposed for the constitutional amendment needed to make the GST happen, according to a member of the Congress team that included former finance minister P Chidambaram.
“Negotiations take place only if both sides are willing to be flexible,” senior Congress leader Jairam Ramesh told Reuters. “Both sides were pragmatic.”
An aide to Jaitley said Congress’s growing isolation proved decisive in making a compromise possible.
“They had got themselves into a corner,” said the finance ministry official, who was privy to the talks. “They had two options: strike a deal and come out with your reputation intact, or lose your credibility.”
Last week’s unanimous Upper House vote to pass the 122nd amendment to the Constitution brings the wheel full circle - the GST was proposed by Chidambaram a decade ago but was stalled by political rivalry.
Introducing a unified sales tax across India’s market of 1.3 billion people would mark a bold act of integration at a time of disintegration elsewhere, as Britain exits the European Union and a protectionist, Donald Trump, runs for the US presidency.
The GST vote also addresses how India, as a federation, can implement a one-size-fits-all sales tax - something the United States and EU have been unable to do - by creating a GST Council that brings the centre and the states together.
Tough bargaining on the rate and scope of the tax lies ahead, yet at least the atmosphere has improved, with Chidambaram praising Jaitley’s “friendly and conciliatory tone”.
That could revive projects that foundered early in Modi’s rule, including land and labour reforms.
Despite winning India’s biggest mandate in 30 years, Modi has struggled to advance his agenda.
Congress, though reduced to a rump opposition, has resisted. As the largest party in the Rajya Sabha that represents the states, it had blocked the GST and derailed Modi’s land acquisition bill which critics branded as being “anti-farmer”.
While that tactic proved effective, it wasn’t winning public support. Congress took hits in state elections and in June lost the Rajya Sabha votes it needed to be sure of stopping the GST.
This was the cue for Jaitley to court the states, with key swing state West Bengal soon declaring its support. In July, he targeted Bihar, while at the same time re-engaging with Congress after nine months of radio silence.
Jaitley’s promise to the states to compensate revenue losses for five years, made at talks in New Delhi on July 26, won them over, West Bengal’s finance minister Amit Mitra told Reuters.
Congress moved to cut a deal, while Modi and Jaitley were ready to offer concessions - including scrapping a levy of 1% on the movement of goods between states - that experts say would actually make the GST a better tax.
On the morning of July, 27 Congress submitted a written proposal, with new wording on resolving GST disputes between the centre and the states. Modi’s cabinet approved identical tweaks that same evening.
When it came to the August 3 vote, there were 203 votes in favour, and none against. The amendment passed the Lower House on Monday, also unanimously.
It was a first for Modi, who called the GST a “Great Step towards Transformation”.