In his nine-year-old courtship with the Congress, DMK chief M Karunanidhi has threatened to withdraw support to the UPA government at least six times.
Each time, he has capitulated after his demands were accommodated in parts or whole concerning new ministers or allotment of portfolios.
But this time, his threat looks more real.
Senior DMK leaders believe that Karunanidhi is convinced that the Sri Lankan Tamil issue provides the right time frame for the DMK to drop the “baggage” of the Congress and work on contesting the 2014 polls on his own.
He thinks that the Congress is not in an advantageous position to win the next polls –just as he saw the BJP in similar position in 2004 and withdrew support to join hands with the Congress.
Seeing the growing public sentiment in the state on the Tamil cause, Karunanidhi is hoping to milk the situation to revive his party.
Karunanidhi is asking India to vote for a US-sponsored resolution against Sri Lanka, before the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva sanctioning Sri Lanka for war crimes and genocide.
The DMK patriarch also wants India to move two amendments.
One declaring “that the genocide and war crimes had been committed and inflicted on Eelam Tamils by the Sri Lankan Army and administrators”, and the second for the creation of a credible and independent international commission of enquiry in a time-bound manner into the allegations of war crimes, crimes against humanity, violation of international human rights law, violation of international humanitarian law and crime of genocide against Tamils.
Both the amendments are unacceptable for India from the standpoint of its foreign policy, a point that even the opposition BJP concedes as it could have a bearing on issues like Kashmir.