Assembly poll results today, will BJP emerge the winner in all four states?

  • HT Correspondent, Hindustan Times, New Delhi
  • Updated: Dec 08, 2013 08:15 IST
  • Congress president Sonia Gandhi (2nd L) and Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit (R) gesture and wave towards supporters during an election rally in New Delhi. (AFP)

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    Congress president Sonia Gandhi (2nd L) and Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit (R) gesture and wave towards supporters during an election rally in New Delhi. (AFP)

  • File photo of AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal during Delhi assembly elections in New Delhi. (PTI)

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    File photo of AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal during Delhi assembly elections in New Delhi. (PTI)

  • BJP leader and Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi speaks during an election rally in Dwarka area of New Delhi. (AP)

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    BJP leader and Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi speaks during an election rally in Dwarka area of New Delhi. (AP)

  • BJP president Rajnath Singh with Arun Jaitley and chief ministerial candidate for Delhi Harsh Vardhan during a seminar organised at party headquarters in New Delhi. (PTI)

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    BJP president Rajnath Singh with Arun Jaitley and chief ministerial candidate for Delhi Harsh Vardhan during a seminar organised at party headquarters in New Delhi. (PTI)

  • BJP supporters shout slogans as they arrive to listen to Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi at an election campaign rally in Dwarka area of New Delhi. (AP)

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    BJP supporters shout slogans as they arrive to listen to Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi at an election campaign rally in Dwarka area of New Delhi. (AP)

  • Election officials help a woman cast her vote in New Delhi, India. (AP)

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    Election officials help a woman cast her vote in New Delhi, India. (AP)

  • An Indian man carries a physically disabled relative to enable her to cast her vote in New Delhi, India. (AP)

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    An Indian man carries a physically disabled relative to enable her to cast her vote in New Delhi, India. (AP)

  • Congress vice-pesident Rahul Gandhi shows his voter identity card as he leaves after casting vote for Delhi Assembly elections at a polling station in New Delhi. (PTI)

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    Congress vice-pesident Rahul Gandhi shows his voter identity card as he leaves after casting vote for Delhi Assembly elections at a polling station in New Delhi. (PTI)

  • AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal shows his ink-marked finger after casting vote for Delhi Assembly elections, at a polling booth in New Delhi. (PTI)

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    AAP convener Arvind Kejriwal shows his ink-marked finger after casting vote for Delhi Assembly elections, at a polling booth in New Delhi. (PTI)

  • UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi with Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit after casting votes for Delhi Assembly elections at Nirman Bhawan polling station in New Delhi. (PTI)

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    UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi with Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit after casting votes for Delhi Assembly elections at Nirman Bhawan polling station in New Delhi....

  • BJP

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    BJP's CM candidate Harsh Vardhan shows his ink-marked finger after casting his vote for Delhi Assembly elections at a polling station in East Delhi. (PTI)

  • BJP leader Sushma Swaraj leaves after casting her vote for Assembly elections in Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh. (PTI)

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    BJP leader Sushma Swaraj leaves after casting her vote for Assembly elections in Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh. (PTI)

  • A woman shows her ink-marked finger after casting her vote at a polling station during the state assembly election in New Delhi. (Reuters)

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    A woman shows her ink-marked finger after casting her vote at a polling station during the state assembly election in New Delhi. (Reuters)

  • Chhattisgarh chief minister Raman Singh casts his vote at polling station at Kawardha during the 2nd phase of state Assembly elections. (PTI)

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    Chhattisgarh chief minister Raman Singh casts his vote at polling station at Kawardha during the 2nd phase of state Assembly elections. (PTI)

  • Madhya Pradesh CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan with his wife Sadhna Singh (L) showing their marked fingers after casting votes for Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh. (PTI)

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    Madhya Pradesh CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan with his wife Sadhna Singh (L) showing their marked fingers after casting votes for Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh. (PTI)

  • Congress leader Ajit Jogi talks to media after casting his vote during the assembly election in Chhattisgarh. (PTI)

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    Congress leader Ajit Jogi talks to media after casting his vote during the assembly election in Chhattisgarh. (PTI)

  • Rajastan chief minister Ashok Ghelot casts his vote in Jodhpur. (PTI)

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    Rajastan chief minister Ashok Ghelot casts his vote in Jodhpur. (PTI)

  • Rajasthan BJP chief Vasundhara Raje addressing an election rally at Ratlai near Jhalawar. (PTI)

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    Rajasthan BJP chief Vasundhara Raje addressing an election rally at Ratlai near Jhalawar. (PTI)

  • File photo of Raman Singh, Ajit Jogi, Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Vasundhara Raje, Ashok Gehlot, Harsh Vardhan, Arvind Kejriwal and Shiela Dikhsit. (Agency)

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    File photo of Raman Singh, Ajit Jogi, Shivraj Singh Chouhan, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Vasundhara Raje, Ashok Gehlot, Harsh Vardhan, Arvind Kejriwal and Shiela Dikhsit....

This Sunday, there is excitement galore – as the election results for Delhi, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh (MP) and Chhattisgarh come out.

So far, the BJP appears confident of winning all four states while a cautious Congress seeks to delink the outcome of these assembly polls from the Lok Sabha elections next year.

Meanwhile, the public in the capital is keenly watching the performance of the debutant that has created a stir – Aam Aadmi Party (AAP).

A BJP-victory in the four states, accounting for 72 of the 543 Lok Sabha seats, could strengthen the position of its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi – whose aggressive campaigning across India has sent the BJP’s hopes soaring.

The Congress appears to be bracing for a tough Sunday, however.

Exit polls predict its ouster from Delhi and Rajasthan, besides failure to dethrone the BJP in MP and Chhattisgarh – where chief ministers Shivraj Singh Chouhan and Raman Singh, respectively, are looking to win a third consecutive term.

None other than Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has said the Congress would go into the general elections with self-confidence “irrespective of assembly election results.”

Even Congress general secretary Digvijaya Singh told HT on Saturday that “these results will have no bearing on the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.”

Congress leaders are also reminding us that that in December 2003, the party had lost Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan to the BJP – yet went on to win the Lok Sabha elections, five months later.

But the biggest setback for the Congress could be losing Delhi after 15 years – which is largely being attributed to the emergence of the year-old AAP led by Arvind Kejriwal.

The AAP has turned the contest for the capital triangular and thrown the calculations of both BJP and Congress haywire.

All eyes remained focused on Sheila, Kejriwal contest in New Delhi

Even Congress managers privately admit that though Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit successfully ran the city-state for 15 years, a possible defeat could owe to voters’ urge for change.

And yet, the same logic does not appear to apply to MP and Chhattisgarh, where the BJP is hopeful of scoring a hat-trick.

Congress-ruled Rajasthan – which has seen an anti-incumbency vote exercised every five years over the past two decades – may prove tough for chief minister Ashok Gehlot, despite his populist schemes.

Inner party feuds and lack of clarity on the issue of leadership have complicated things further for Gehlot.

Exit polls: C-fore | CNN IBN-The Week | C-voter | ABP News-Nielsen

What’s more, a poll outcome on Sunday favourable to the BJP will give the principal opposition party further ammunition to attack the Congress-led UPA government during the ongoing winter session of Parliament – scuttle any move to bring in the controversial, eight-year-old communal violence bill that currently has the House divided.

My India My Vote: Full Coverage

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