Polling for the 243-member Bihar assembly will take place in five phases between October 12 and November 5, with the counting slated for November 8.
The BJP is contesting 160 assembly seats, its allies Lok Janshakti Party 40 seats, Rashtriya Lok Samata Party 23 seats and Hindustani Awami Morcha 20 seats.
The Grand Alliance of the JD-U, RJD and the Congress is expected to win 137 of the 243 seats in the Bihar assembly, a CNN IBN/IBN7-Axis survey said late Thursday.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led NDA coalition was expected to win 95 seats, garnering a 38 percent vote share. The Grand Alliance was tipped to garner 46 percent vote share, a press statement said.
A party or coalition must get 122 seats to secure a majority in the state assembly.
The NDA’s main constituent, the BJP, was expected to win 82 seats with an error margin of five seats.
Its ally the LJP of Ram Vilas Paswan may get only two seats. Former chief minister Jitan Ram Manjhi’s HAM is expected to bag eight seats and the RLSP of Upendra Kushwaha three seats.
The JD-U led by incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is expected to win 69 seats with an error margin of 5 seats.
Lalu Prasad’s Rashtriya Janata Dal may win 48 seats with an error margin of two seats. The Congress was set to win 20 seats, according to the survey, with an error margin of one seat.