The BJP is likely to emerge as the single largest party with 217 seats while the Congress will not cross the figure of 100 in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, according to an opinion poll conducted by ABP News-Nielsen.
The poll predicted the worst-ever performance by the Congress, winning just 73 seats, 133 less than its tally in 2009 general elections. It also gave 10 seats to the Aam Aadmi Party.
While the BJP-led NDA is projected to get 236 out of the total 543 seats, the Congress-led UPA would be confined to double digits with the tally of 92. The NDA has gained 10 seats as compared to the opinion poll conducted by ABP News-Nielsen in January 2014. The NDA is predicted to get a vote share of 46% cent from western India and around 38% in northern India.
The BJP is likely to get around 80 seats in north India while the NDA could bag 88 out of the 151 seats in north India. The AAP is likely to get 9 seats and the Congress 17 with the UPA predicted to get 23 seats.
Similarly, the NDA is likely to bag 88 seats in western India out of which the BJP alone is pegged at 79. The Congress is likely to get 15 seats and the AAP to get only one seat out of the total 116 seats in western India.
The BJP is likely to get 38 seats and the Congress around 18 in eastern India.
As per the poll conducted in 129 constituencies with 29,252 respondents, BJP’s Narendra Modi is a clear choice as the next PM. More than 57% respondents want Modi to be the PM. Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi scored over Kejriwal with 18% while only 3% voted for Kejriwal as the PM.
Significantly, the poll also projected 186 seats for others or the ‘so-called federal front’ — 94 more than the UPA — and around 29 for the Left parties. The break-up for others is AIADMK 19, TMC 29, BJD 16, BSP 13, CPM 18, CPI 7, DMK 13 and JD(U) 9. While 46% respondents considered inflation as the main issue, 34% feel corruption is the biggest problem.