Exit polls have projected handsome gains for the BSP in the 57 constituencies that went to the polls in the fourth phase on Monday.
However, while Star News predicted major losses for the ruling Samajwadi Party in the fourth phase, the NDTV poll claimed the SP's loss would be marginal.
Star News predicted the BSP would get 22 seats with a vote share of 22 per cent from this region, considered to be the pocket borough of Mulayam Singh Yadav's Samajwadi Party. The BSP, in 2002, had only 9 seats from the region. The BJP, which had put up a good show in the third phase, however is predicted to lose some ground and end up with 11 seats, against its 2002 tally of 14. However, the biggest loser in the fourth phase, according to Star News, is the Samajwadi Party. The party, which had 31 seats from the region in 2002, is expected to end up with around 20 seats with a -5.6 per cent vote swing against it.
The Congress is predicted to improve upon its 2002 performance, when it got 2 seats. Star News has projected that the party would gain some ground in terms of vote percentage and might end up bagging three seats in the area.
Overall, the Star News has projected that the BSP is expected to emerge as the single largest party with 146 seats followed by the BJP with 99. The SP is projected to emerge third with 91 seats with others, including the RLD, getting 39 seats. The Congress is projected to get about 28 seats.
The NDTV poll predicted 25 to 29 seats for the SP in the fourth phase and projected that the party would get between 109 and 119 seats in the state making it the second largest party after the BSP. In 2002, the SP was the single largest party with 145 seats.
The BSP, as per NDTV, was making significant gains with the party set to get anywhere between 13 and 17 seats. The BSP, the NDTV poll said, would become the single largest party with 131 to 141 seats. Last time, the BSP had won 98 seats.
The BJP is projected to retain its 2002 tally of 14 seats in the fourth phase. The NDTV poll claims that the saffron party would get anywhere between 10 and 14 seats. Overall, the party is projected to get between 91 and 101 seats if the entire state has the same swing as in the first four phases. In 2002, the party had 107 seats.
The Congress is expected to put up a better performance this time with NDTV giving it 1 to 5 seats and projecting anywhere between 33 and 43 seats for the party. In 2002, the party's overall tally was 25. Others, including the RLD were expected to get between 14 and 23 seats, overall.