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Exit polls predict hung assembly in UP

After the sixth phase of polling, two exit polls predict a hung assembly with the Bahujan Samaj Party emerging as the single largest party, reports Manish Chandra Pandey.

india Updated: May 04, 2007 04:08 IST

After the sixth phase of polling, two exit polls on Thursday predicted a hung assembly with the Bahujan Samaj Party emerging as the single largest party.

With just 59 of 403 constituencies left to go to polls, the scene has now shifted to crucial last phase in Poorvanchal on May 8.

While the Star exit poll has projected BSP getting 140, NDTV predicted the BSP’s tally could vary between 120 and 130 seats. As per NDTV poll, BJP and Samajwadi Party are locked in a neck and neck fight for the number two slot. Both are expected to get anything between 110 and 120 seats. However the Star TV survey said that the BJP would get 110 seats followed by the SP with 89.

The Congress was likely to get 28 seats according to the Star poll but the NDTV survey gave the party between 35 and 45 seats. The Star gave 35 seats to others, including the Rashtriya Lok Dal while the NDTV predicted ten to 20 seats for others. With the completion of sixth phase the polling has been completed in 343 constituencies.

Significantly, if the NDTV survey was to be believed, the SP after suffering reverses in the initial rounds was now making some recovery. The NDTV survey had given 95 to 105 seats to the SP in the fifth phase.

The BSP had 97 seats while the BJP had 107 seats in 2002.

In the sixth phase, polling for which was held in 52 seats on Thursday, the BSP was expected to improve its presence significantly in the area with 21 seats. This would mark a gain of 6 seats for the party. For the BJP too, Star’s exit poll had good news to offer with the saffron party projected to get 17 seats in this round. It had won 11 seats in 2002.

The ruling SP which had won 20 seats last time might end with a reduced tally of 13 seats.

However, the NDTV survey gave 19 to 23 seats for the BSP and claimed that SP would be the second largest party in this round with 16 to 20 seats. The BJP, NDTV poll projected, would get between 9 to 13 seats, with Congress expected to get anywhere between 0 to 3 seats.