The Karnataka High Court's decision in favour of the disqualification of the rebel MLAs from the party will give the BJP a psychological boost. However, the government is not yet out of the woods, thanks to chief minister B S Yeddyurappa's inexperience and factionalism within the party.
A no-confidence motion can be brought about and if the BJP does not manage its flock efficiently, more may well fly the coop. Equations have changed and what will happen in the by-elections for the seats held by the disqualified MLAs has to be seen. The BJP also got a shot in the arm with Amit Shah being granted bail in the Sohrabuddin case. This point will definitely provide the party ammunition against the CBI during the winter session of Parliament.
The BJP has enough fodder for the winter session of Parliament given that the Supreme Court pulled up the CBI for the shoddy investigations into the spectrum scam allegedly casting a shadow on Union telecom minister A Raja. The BJP may use Maharashtra chief minister Ashok Chavan's alleged involvement in the Mumbai land scam to take a whack at the Congress government. Mr Chavan has now offered to step down.
The Bihar election results, if they favour the JD(U)-BJP, would further boost the party. All this comes after the BJP has been floundering for months, preferring a reactive rather than proactive approach. The unspoken tussle among many members of the party and the RSS had also led to some amount of demoralisation and instability.
There is no doubt that party president Nitin Gadkari would not be averse to the BJP going back to its core competence, that of Hindutva. But, this card is one of diminishing returns and India has moved forward from the heyday of L K Advani.
In the past, there were several issues on which it could have put the government on the mat. The price issue was one such. But a much-hyped rally in the capital turned out to be a damp squib and Mr Gadkari came off worse for the wear.
The BJP should have functioned as the shadow government but has seemed weakened by internal pressures. It no longer has a unifying leader like A B Vajpayee and the transition to a new team has been less than smooth so far. Its top leaders have often been seen as at loggerheads with each other.
Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi, once projected as a top leader is charismatic but is not popular with potential allies. But, with all the latest developments, the party, if it plays its cards right, can give the government a few sleepless nights. But, for that everyone within must come to the aid of the party.