India can survive another loss!
Atul Sondhi examines all the scenarios that could see India through to the final.india Updated: Sep 21, 2006 11:13 IST
Despite middle order hiccups, with West Indies through to the final, some interesting possibilities await India if they are to get into the title clash for the DLF Cup.
Winless India do have a tough job, but they need not win both their matches to reach the final.
If India fail to beat the West Indies, which on form they might, they will need to beat Australia with a bonus point to be on level terms with them at seven each.
Right now India have two points from two matches and Australia have seven from three. A win with bonus point against Australia will take them to seven, and a berth in the final.
This is because head-to-head India will have one win and a draw against Australia and wins and bonus points come before net run-rate as per tournament rules.
If it rains, or a tie happens in India-West Indies match, India will get two points to be on four from three matches. Other contender Australia will have seven from same number of matches.
In that case, India will simply need to win against Australia and edge them out of the final race by one point. The final points tally will be West Indies on eleven, India eight and Australia seven.
If India beat the West Indies by a bonus point to get seven points and then it rains in India-Australia match, India might still be through.
In this case, all the teams will have nine points each but with two wins in round robin, the West Indies will have qualified for the final.
The Net Run-Rate will decide the second finalist from India and Australia, as they will have one win each. Right now, India are behind on Net Run- Rate, but a big win against the West Indies will secure them from rain/tie against Australia encounter.
For the fans of Team India, Wednesday's encounter is not a must win for India. They can lose Wednesday match and still reach the final by beating Australia by a big enough margin that fetches them bonus point.
The second finalist will be decided on the 22nd, and not by the blades of Gayle, Lara, Tendulkar and Sehwag on the 20th. Though a win for India on Wednesday will spare them the trouble of beating Australia by a bonus point on Friday.