The second Star News-Nielsen opinion poll predicts that none of the existing alliances would be able form a government on their own. The coalition constituents would need to look for support outside their respective alliances to be able to reach the magic figure of 272.
According to the survey UPA is likely to get 203 seats, NDA 191 seats, Third Front 104 seats, Fourth Front 39 seats and Others 6 seats. The survey was done from March 26 to April 3 2009. Sample size of 50,400 was covered across all states / Union Territories including J&K, North East, & Island states such as Andaman & Nicobar and Lakshadweep in 224 parliamentary constituencies.
In the first opinion poll it was predicted that UPA would lead with 257 seats in alliance with SP, RJD, LJP; while NDA had 184 seats, the Third Front was predicted to have 96 seats and 6 seats were likely to go to others.
The second Star News-Nielsen opinion poll predicts more than 155 seats for the Congress against 144 seats for the party in the first opinion poll. The predicted numbers of seats for the BJP too have increased to 147. Similarly, the number of seats for the JD(U) has also gone up to 22 and for the BSP to 26.
The parties which are predicted to lose seats, as compared to the first Star News-Nielsen opinion poll are SP, DMK, RJD, LJP, Shiv Sena, RLD, AGP, and JD(S). SP comes down to 28 from 30 seats, with RJD down to 6 from 11 predicted in the first opinion poll. The Shiv Sena is now likely to get 9 seats, AGP to get 4, RLD to get 3 and JD(S) is likely to get just 2 seats.