Prevailing political uncertainty has created a piquant situation in the state. Will the state go to the assembly polls under president's rule is the question being hotly debated in political and administrative circles in the state.
While the opposition parties of all hues have arrayed against the Chief Minister Mulayam Singh Yadav to ensure the election under the central rule, the ruling Samajwadi Party has been gearing up to turn the table on the rivals on the issue. Moreover, the seriousness of the demand is being also seen with suspicion in the state.
Even though Governor TV Rajeswar has completed his exercise to pave way for the removal of the SP-RLD coalition government, the centre appears to be reluctant on bestowing "hallow of martyrdom" to the chief minister. The centre's assessment is reportedly based on intelligence input, which has indicated that Yadav had all the potential to turn tide in his favour if he was sacked. It could also further dampen the electoral prospects of the Congress in the state.
While the BJP and BSP leaders have already met President Abdul Kalam to demand imposition of the president's rule in the state, there is feeling in two parties that prolonged central rule could be advantageous to the SP. Even though BSP chief Mayawati has been demanding sacking of the chief minister, it appears to be just for public consumption.
The BSP, which is quite confident of coming back to power, in fact wants election under the present regime so that it could maximize on anti-incumbency factor. "If the president's rule is imposed it should not be more than two months", commented a senior BSP leader. The state Congress, which has fallen short of demanding dismissal, has repeatedly said that the elections would not be free and fair under Yadav regime. "It is for the election commission and central government to ensure fair elections", commented UPCC chief Salman Khurshid.
The bureaucracy and police officers have also been waiting the outcome of bout between opposition and the SP over the central rule. Sensing possible change the spineless officers have started queuing up the Raj Bhawan. It is learnt that a high profile IAS officer recently fell on the feet of Mahamahim (Governor).
Large-scale transfer and posting of IPS and PPS officers is also aimed at having pliable officers in the field during the election. But the police officers feel that in the event of central rule the process could be reversed.
"By default blue brigade (officers close to BSP) would be in the field", commented an IG. Yadav's move to take vote on account for next fiscal has also led to speculations in the official circle about the fate of the government.