The Acrimonious parting of ways between the Congress and the Left is now resulting in changing political equations with new alliances coming up in many states ahead of 2009 polls.
The three-decade-old Left rule showed first real signs of cracks during the recent local bodies polls. Opposition Trinamool Congress made substantive gains in rural areas. The real fears of state Left leaders have come true, at a time when they are reeling under Nandigram and Singur effects.
As Left severed ties with the Congress, decks have been cleared for a Congress-Mamata alliance.
The Congress had hoped to get its former ally, the Telangana Rashtra Samiti on board for the trust vote, using the good offices of coalition partners like Agriculture Minister Sharad Pawar. However, not only did the TRS spurn the UPA offers, it threw a major surprise by turning up at the meetings of the UNPA, and shared the stage with Telugu Desam, a known critic of a separate Telangana state.
Ruling DMK, which formed a grand alliance with the Congress, Left, PMK and MDMK to sweep the 2004 elections, is now struggling to retain the alliance partners. Having already lost the MDMK and the PMK, the developments in Dehi could well see the Left moving towards AIADMK.
UP & BIHAR
The two big states, which account for 120 Lok Sabha seats, saw major players engaged in poaching the MPs of each other in a game of one-upmanship, and also stitching their alliances for the general elections. BSP chief Mayawati having weaned away Ajit Singh’s RLD from the SP into her fold, has managed to find an ally, and has set the stage for a two-way contest between BSP-RLD alliance and the SP-Congress alliance. In Bihar, UPA partners Lalu Yadav and Ram Vilas Paswan, who fell out soon after the 2004 polls, now seem to be on a reconciliatory path. Lalu, stung by the defeat in assembly elections, appears willing to consider Paswan’s demand for more seats.
The dominant faction of the opposition Assam Gana Parishad, which initially became a part of the fledgling UNPA, is now moving towards the BJP in the run-up to the polls. Both the AGP factions are coming together and a united party is likely to contest in an alliance with the BJP.