Special weather forecasts helped EC steer clear of inclement conditions

  • Zia Haq, Hindustan Times, New Delhi
  • Updated: Mar 05, 2014 21:02 IST

Bad weather — storms, heat-wave conditions and rains — can swing elections, research has shown. Peaking summer and a knocking monsoon would be two main hurdles for the Lok Sabha elections that are to be held between April 7 and May 12.

To steer clear of inclement weather, the Election Commission (EC) held several rounds of consultations with the weather department. The panel then settled on the best dates available, keeping in mind the forecast weather trends.

According to India Meteorological Department chief LS Rathore, the poll schedule for each state was drawn up after a special round of forecasts done by the department.

"Let me compliment the EC for staggering the elections in a way that periods of intense heat and rains have been avoided," Rathore told HT. The period chosen is also agriculturally lean, he said.

The main contests in some southern and northeastern states would be held in April to avoid pre-monsoon showers. Rajasthan would see most of its polls in initial phases to avoid heat-wave conditions.

However, 105 seats would go to polls in May, including in states such as UP, Bengal and Bihar, where temperatures could soar up to a sultry 40 degrees Celsius.

India’s June-September monsoon makes landfall in Kerala – its first port of call in the mainland – around June 30, before spreading northwards.

According to a 2007 study published in the Journal of Politics, when compared to normal conditions, rain can significantly reduce voter participation by a rate of nearly 1% per inch. In the US, weather is one yardstick in deciding the so-called swing states.

While higher voter turnout is said to benefit a party on the upswing, a lower turnout can help candidates with high voter dissatisfaction by reducing the number of negative votes. So, not everyone would be praying for a lovely day.

From Around the Web
Sponsored by Revcontent

also read

Will take Koh-i-noor battle to UN, UNESCO if I have to: Petitioner
Show comments

Steps to disable Ad Blocker on your browser


In order to serve content on our website, we rely on advertising revenue which helps us to ensure that we continue to serve high quality unbiased journalism. From our end, we will aim to show clean and unobtrusive ads to provide you with a great browsing experience.

Request to please follow the steps below and once done, please refresh your page.


For Chrome and Ad BlockPlus users

1.Press the ‘ABP’ icon in your toolbar at top right of this page

2. Click on ‘Enabled on this site’; this should now change to ‘Disabled on this site’


chrome



For Chrome and Ad Block users

1.Press the ‘AdBlock’ icon in your toolbar

2.Select the option ‘Don’t run on pages on this domain’ and then click ‘exclude’ on the pop up


chrome

Steps to disable Ad Blocker on your browser


In order to serve content on our website, we rely on advertising revenue which helps us to ensure that we continue to serve high quality unbiased journalism. From our end, we will aim to show clean and unobtrusive ads to provide you with a great browsing experience.

Request to please follow the steps below and once done, please refresh your page.


For Mozilla and AdBlock Plus (ABP) users

1.Press the ‘ABP’ icon in your toolbar

2.Select the option ‘Disable on hindustantimes.com’


chrome

Steps to disable Ad Blocker on your browser


In order to serve content on our website, we rely on advertising revenue which helps us to ensure that we continue to serve high quality unbiased journalism. From our end, we will aim to show clean and unobtrusive ads to provide you with a great browsing experience.

Request to please follow the steps below and once done, please refresh your page.


For Internet Explorer and AdBlock Plus users

1.Press the ‘AdBlock Plus’ icon in your status bar at the bottom of the screen

2.Select the option ‘Disable on hindustantimes.com’


chrome

Steps to disable Ad Blocker on your browser


In order to serve content on our website, we rely on advertising revenue which helps us to ensure that we continue to serve high quality unbiased journalism. From our end, we will aim to show clean and unobtrusive ads to provide you with a great browsing experience.

Request to please follow the steps below and once done, please refresh your page.


For Safari and AdBlock users

1.Press the ‘AdBlock’ icon in your toolbar

2.Select the option ‘Don't run pages on this domain’ and then click 'exclude'


chrome