ALTHOUGH THE Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that Central India would get the poorest monsoon this season, the Regional Meteorological Department (RMD) here hoped that Madhya Pradesh, a part of the region, would almost touch the normal rainfall mark.
In recently long-range forecast, the IMD said Central India is expected to receive only 90 per cent of the long period average (LPA) of rainfall this monsoon, with eight per cent error on either side.
The country is expected to receive 92 per cent of rainfall of the LPA with plus or minus four per cent digression. Central India includes MP, Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Goa and Orissa.
The other three regions– Northwest, South Peninsula and Northeast India — are expected to receive 91 per cent, 97 per cent and 94 per cent rainfall of LPA –with eight per cent digression on either side.
RMD director D P Dubey today expressed the hope that MP might get its quota of normal rainfall, given the trend till now. Normal rainfall expected between June 1 and September 30 is around 100 cm (989 mm). As of now (till July 26) the State is facing a shortfall of about 22 per cent, receiving 311.5 mm of rains against expected 400.7 mm.
Dubey said western MP has touched the normal mark with shortfall of only 18 per cent. A digression of 19 per cent on positive or negative side from the average expected rainfall is considered normal in meteorological jargon.
Eastern MP is facing a shortfall of 26 per cent. In the next 4-5 days ‘very good’ rainfall would be recorded all over the State and is expected to wipe off the shortfall, Dubey added.
District-wise, Dindori and Damoh are facing shortfalls of 56 and 55 per cent respectively as on July 26. Panna is facing a deficit of 51 per cent, Balaghat 43 per cent, Shivpuri 42 per cent, Sheopur Kalan and Khandwa 39 per cent.
Bhopal is facing a shortfall of 30 per cent. Sidhi district has received heavy showers and is showing 45 pc excess rains.