Exit polls have predicted a hung assembly in Uttar Pradesh with the Samajwadi Party (SP) emerging as the single largest entity and Mayawati's BSP on its way out.
In Uttarakhand and Punjab, most of the polls by news channels hinted at the Congress having an edge over the BJP. While News 24 predicted an advantage for the Congress in Punjab (Congress 60; SAD-BJP 52), CNN-IBN gave SAD-BJP 51-63 and the Congress 48-60. News 24 and Headlines Today said the Congress had a brighter chance in Uttarakhand.
Star News/Neilson gave 183 out of UP's 403 seats to SP and just 83 to the BSP. India TV said SP would get 137-145 and the BSP 122-130. News 24 predicted 185 seats for the SP and 85 for the BSP.
Headlines Today put the SP at almost the majority mark (195-210) and BSP at 88-98.
So while two polls say the BSP, which got 206 seats in 2007, will not reach triple figures, News 24 shows SP may not need a major ally like the Congress to form a government.
While there is no clear wave, there is a perception of an undercurrent against Mayawati over corruption and land acquisition and the SP gaining the most from it.
The two national players, BJP and Congress, are seen gaining seats, with the BJP doing better.
The BJP needs to improve in UP to have a chance of coming to power at the Centre in 2014. UP is important for the Congress as Rahul Gandhi has staked his prestige there.Campaign, calculation, combination | The poll story | Last day of polling