Chief minister Mulayam Singh Yadav's indication about the early state assembly poll has led to discussions about the timing of the elections in the official circle.
As per constitution of the present House the five-year tenure of the assembly will be over in the last week of February 2007. Thus the state could to go to polls in January-February to constitute the new House by February-end.
This is the time when elections would also be held in Uttaranchal, Punjab and Manipur.
This is also pre-harvesting season, which suits all political parties. "With drought-like situation all over the state, SP would not like a late poll", commented an Intelligence officer.
Earlier the police officers had come out with an argument that polls could not be held in January-February because of Ardh Kumbha, which is commencing from January 2, 2007.
However a senior police officer, involved in the deployment of forces, told Hindustan Times on Thursday that pilgrims' pressure would be over after Basant Panchami bath on January 23.
Apart from the daily inflow of pilgrims at Allahabad during Kumbh, five Shahi Nahan (royal baths) will be held on Makar Sankranti (January 14), Mauni Amawasya (January 19), Basant Panchami (January 23), Magh Purnima (February 2) and Mahashivratir (February 16).
The officer said after Makar Sankranti bath the pressure would largely ease out on security forces and after Basant Panchami, the situation would start becoming normal.
In case of early poll, he said, the election wheel could be rolled out from the last week of January.
There is a strong feeling in the police that under the prevailing situation the election commission would go for at least a six-phase polling, which could be spread over up to February 20 to meet the deadline of February 26 when the House was constituted in 2002.
There is a feeling among the officers that the January-February poll would also avoid any clash with CBSE/ICSE and UP board examination commencing in early March. The UP Board examination starting from March 17 would end in the middle of April.
However, there are indications that the election commission wanted the UP election separately to deploy large security forces. "It would not be possible in the event of UP going to polls with Uttaranchal and Punjab," said the officer. Apart from the chief minister other political parties also wanted an early poll.