India can develop quake model

  • HT Correspondent, Hindustan Times, Kolkata
  • |
  • Updated: Jan 04, 2013 22:38 IST

India can lead the world in establishing an acceptable earthquake model and give the genesis of the triggered earthquakes, experts feel.

As a part of this goal, seismologists are striving to establish a deep borehole observatory in the seismically-active intra-plate fault zone at Koyna-Warna in Maharashtra.

While giving a presentation, National Disaster Management Authority member Harsh K Gupta said the project can lead to better understanding of earthquake faulting. "We propose to drill four bore holes which will play a pivotal role in collecting geological data," he told HT.

Maintaining that this could take 5 years, he said it would cost R400 crore. "We will set up an observatory. This  would allow us to gain access to geological measurements, hydrology, temperature and essential parameters in the near fields."

Model for better weather forecast

India should have a good dynamical model of very high resolution to make better seasonal forecasts. Dr Jagadish Shukla, professor at George Mason University in the US and an expert in weather forecasting was speaking on title  ‘Predictability and prediction of monsoons in the present and future climate’.

"The statistical model of forecasting will not work," he told HT.

"Earlier India lagged in computational infrastructure but now we have leaped ahead in technological skills. We must, therefore, move to the dynamical model."

 

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