State IB predicts runaway win for Mamata's alliance
The West Bengal state Intelligence Branch (IB) report has predicted 180-185 seats for the Trinamool Congress-Congress alliance in the assembly polls - a seat count that will allow the combine to form the next government comfortably. Soumen Datta reports.kolkata Updated: Apr 14, 2011 14:11 IST
The West Bengal state Intelligence Branch (IB) report has predicted 180-185 seats for the Trinamool Congress-Congress alliance in the assembly polls - a seat count that will allow the combine to form the next government comfortably.
The report also claims that, until last week, chief minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee was trailing in the Jadavpur constituency by about 1,200 votes.
The magic figure in the 294-seat West Bengal Assembly is 148. The report predicts the Left Front, in power for the past 34 years, will win 100-110 seats and 'others' will get five to eight seats.
The report, submitted to the state home secretary on March 11, is sufficient to give the ruling Left Front sleepless nights, since it goes against the CPI(M) leadership's claim of effecting a turnaround in its electoral fortunes.
The IB sends such reports on a weekly basis to the home secretary. The report also mentions that the chances of such results coming true are 70%.
The report also alerts the state government on the fate of some heavyweight CPI(M) candidates. Apart from Bhattacharjee, his colleagues in the government who may face electoral quicksand are finance minister Asim Dasgupta (at Khardah), housing minister Gautam Deb (Dum Dum), Sunderbans development minister Kanti Ganguly (Raidighi) and industries minister Nirupam Sen (Burdwan-South).
The report says Bhattacharjee, trailing by 1,200 votes in Jadavpur, is keeping the district CPI(M) under considerable pressure. The party is in no position to get the CM out of Jadavpur as their star campaigner for other constituencies. The CM has been campaigning in his Jadavpur constituency for the past few weeks. He did not even visit N Bengal to campaign for Left Front candidates for any of the 54 seats going to the polls on April 18.