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By
Uday Kotak
With political independence in
1947, India inherited an economy that had been ruled for more than
200 years. It took almost half a century to kick-start serious liberalisation
and move towards economic freedom. Today, the nation once written
off by the world for its Hindu rate of growth, is a services superpower-in-the-making.
Today, Indians the world over are respected for their work and expertise
across professions like finance, technology, medicine and knowledge.
Today, Indians are dumping lucrative international assignments and
returning home.
The first signs of a growing
nation are when its people get respect and attention from the world.
Recognition translates into confidence in its own people and fuels
success stories. Post-World War Germany and Japan, the United States
in the 1980s and China in the 1990s are great examples of how confidence
and pride in people built the nations that lead the global economy
today. The same pride has been evident in Indians in the past few
years.
The Indian growth story can
be attributed to three traditional drivers growing urbanization,
the significant development of small towns & rural India, and
global integration. Increased focus on infrastructure and education
has also contributed towards making India the 12th largest economy
in the world.
But the most significant
role in the Indian growth story has been played by the services
sector, which in itself has revolutionized the manner in which business
is conducted today.
The services sector has been
witness to three big waves:
In the 1990s, the software
services wave changed the global image of India for good.
Since 2002, with the telecom
services wave, the industry has witnessed a more than 80 per cent
year-on-year growth, and has attracted the attention of every global
major.
And from 2005, we are witnessing
the first signs of the financial services wave, with global players
rushing into India big-time, and Indian multinationals consolidating
their position to take on the world.
However, India has a long,
long way to go before she can consider herself a financial sector
leader in the global marketplace. To put things in perspective,
the top three Chinese banks have got into the global top-10 list
in the last few years. This is something that was unimaginable even
5 years ago. Today, the market capitalization of the third largest
bank in China is more than the combined market capitalization of
the entire listed Indian financial sector! This means that several
Indian financial sector players need to break into the top league
if India wants to be a growth leader.
There is also a new fourth
wave that is in the making that of infrastructure. Investment
in infrastructure is required to provide growth opportunities for
the three basic sectors of agriculture, manufacturing and services.
Also, India needs to understand that while we find new waves, she
needs to ensure that the old waves are sustained.
She must also understand
that there is a need to strengthen the foundations of civil society
as this growth needs to be inclusive in nature and drive benefits
across all sections of society. This includes adequate attention
to civic amenities like education, sanitation, law and order, etc.
Growth would also be hollow and meaningless unless it is backed
by social justice.
India needs to realize that
while the wind is blowing in her direction, there is a very thin
line between confidence and conviction, and between exuberance &
foolhardiness. That is why it is important to focus on the unfinished
work rather than thump our chests in victory. India has risen, but
the elephant needs to dance.
(Uday Kotak is Vice-Chairman & MD of Kotak Mahindra Bank)
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