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NDA big winner in polls, but short of majority: Survey

HT Correspondent , Hindustan Times  New Delhi, March 06, 2014
First Published: 23:53 IST(6/3/2014) | Last Updated: 12:09 IST(7/3/2014)

The BJP-led NDA may win 212-232 seats in the Lok Sabha elections, but fall short of an absolute majority while the tally of the ruling UPA alliance may come down to 119-139 seats , said a CNN-IBN/IBN-7 election tracker conducted in partnership with Lokniti at CSDS.

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BJP is tipped for its best-ever performance with 193-213 seats, while the incumbent Congress may slide to its lowest-ever tally of 94-110 seats, the survey said.

The survey also predicts that Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) will emerge as the third-largest party in the Lok Sabha with 20-28 seats. Tamil Nadu CM J Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK is also expected to play kingmaker, with a tally of 14-20 seats. Left parties are projected to get 15-23 seats.

The survey predicts disappointment for Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party which may end up with 1-5 seats. Huge losses have also been predicted for Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United), which may also get 1-5 seats.

The survey – based on responses from 9,104 voters across 138 parliamentary constituencies in six states – shows BJP PM candidate Narendra Modi leading the prime ministerial race, with 31% voters approving his candidature as against only 13% for Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi.

Modi’s rating, however, has dipped by five percentage points – from 36% to 31% -- since the survey was last held in January. 
UPA’s vote share is pegged at 29%, a slide of 4 percentage points since 2009, while that of the NDA is at 36%, a gain of more than 14 percentage points since 2009.

The YSR Congress and the Samajwadi Party are both projected to secure 11-17 seats, while the TDP, BJD and DMK are likely to get 10-16 seats. Mayawati’s BSP may get 8 to 14 seats.

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