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Numbers say it: Why Nilekani may have the edge in Bangalore seat

Saubhadra Chatterji, Hindustan Times  New Delhi, February 24, 2014
First Published: 23:17 IST(24/2/2014) | Last Updated: 14:04 IST(25/2/2014)

Aadhar chief Nandan Nilekani was keen to log on to the Lok Sabha polls from Bangalore (South) constituency as he has a house there and takes pride about his roots in that part of the city, according to a close aide.

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A closer look at the electoral results of the Lok Sabha and the eight assembly segments of Bangalore south, however, show that the vote arithmetic too, gives enough space for a calculated risk for Nilekani.

Even as BJP’s Ananth Kumar is a five-time MP, the party’s popularity is steadily depleting over the years in the constituency. Kumar’s winning margin has come down from 66,054 votes in 1999 to 37,612 in 2009.

Meanwhile, in the May 2013 assembly election, the Congress—for the first time in the recent past—registered a net electoral lead in the eight segments.

But Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) hopes to break this bipolar trend. “We are not unduly worried. We do not need to match the Congress in terms of a prominent face against Nilekani. We have got a strong team and we are confident of winning,” Hariharn, co-convener AAP-Karnataka, told HT.

In the 2008 state polls, when the BJP claimed power, it got 35,017 more votes than the Congress in these eight seats. In the 2013 polls, the Congress bridged the gap to get 78,295 more votes.

The choice for Nilekani is also in sync with Rahul Gandhi’s formula of pitting fresh candidates in seats where the Congress lost consistently.

http://www.hindustantimes.com/Images/popup/2014/2/bangalore-south-box.jpg

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