Ian Bremmer
Ian Bremmer is president of Eurasia Group and author of Superpower: Three Choices for America’s Role in the World. He tweets as @ianbremmer.
Articles by Ian Bremmer
In Brazil, a battle of populists — from the Right and the Left
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON JUN 06, 2021 07:46 PM IST
As for the Amazon fires, deforestation accounted for one-third of the destruction of the world’s tropical forests in 2019. Trump, a climate sceptic, was willing to ignore the implications of this destruction, but the Joe Biden administration has joined with European leaders to combine offers of financial help for Brazil with pressure on Bolsonaro to reverse course on the Amazon policy
A fractured response to coronavirus | Opinion
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON MAR 10, 2020 10:15 PM IST
World leaders fended off the 2008 slowdown together. But this time, it has been different
An era of adverse climate, geopolitics and economy
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON DEC 14, 2019 06:07 PM IST
The world is in a situation that it hasn’t been in before — globalisation, geopolitics and economics all turning negative at the same time, while the world’s physical environment becomes increasingly inhospitable.
The proliferation of popular protests | Opinion
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON NOV 16, 2019 07:54 PM IST
If there is one thing that unites the world in 2019, it’s anger at governments—that should worry both governments and the people that are raging against them
Trump will survive, but the worst is yet to come
Hindustan Times | By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON OCT 13, 2019 06:44 AM IST
The biggest impact of impeachment proceedings will be to push the US closer to a constitutional crisis with the 2020 election at its heart. It will call into question the legitimacy of the American political process itself
The promise of liberal democracy lives on within different political cultures
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON JUN 29, 2019 07:56 PM IST
Liberal democracy faces its share of challenges, but EGF’s report indicates that people in the countries surveyed tend to differentiate between US government policies and the principles of individual rights and freedoms that American democracy provides
Leaders must weigh the political risks of new systems they introduce
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON MAY 10, 2019 07:32 PM IST
One system is Aadhaar which has the potential to be transformative, but is not without perils
Europe is facing several challenges beyond Brexit
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON APR 10, 2019 10:27 PM IST
Russia, China, and Africa will sow new divisions among EU states in coming years—and at a time when European consensus on important questions is already facing extraordinary stress
How much ground has democracy lost in recent years?
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON MAR 09, 2019 05:19 PM IST
Democracy, like technology, evolves. No one can say with confidence that any autocrat will govern for life. But for many governments around the world, lasting authoritarian rule is becoming a much more realistic option
Venezuelans may finally have brighter days ahead
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON FEB 24, 2019 11:38 AM IST
There’s no guarantee that true change is imminent. Maduro has proven his staying power again and again, mainly because Venezuela’s military has yet to decide that keeping him is costlier and more risky than packing him off into exile.
Rocky road ahead for Donald Trump in 2019
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON JAN 20, 2019 10:26 AM IST
The greatest risk for Trump is that Republicans—voters and lawmakers—decide they can no longer afford his leadership
China’s assertion is turning Asian geopolitics even more contentious
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON DEC 07, 2018 06:39 PM IST
Chinese leaders are now well aware that this expansion is creating a backlash in Asia, and elsewhere, as policymakers and companies in neighbouring countries see threats embedded in Beijing’s plans.
Midterms: How will the new reality in Washington influence Trump’s foreign policy?
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON NOV 11, 2018 01:04 PM IST
Donald Trump’s political talents should not be underestimated, and many presidents, including Obama, have recovered from midterm defeats to win re-election, sometimes easily.
The reconstruction of Syria depends on Assad’s firm control of the country
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON OCT 07, 2018 03:12 PM IST
The US market collapse has remade our world
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON SEP 15, 2018 04:50 PM IST
And there is surely more to come. How do we prepare for a world where, two years from now, the country you care most about may be governed by someone you’ve never heard of and a political party that doesn’t yet exist? The pace of change is head-spinning.
Dark days ahead for major Latin American countries
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON JUL 14, 2018 05:31 PM IST
Mounting corruption, credibility crisis and public anger have become common features throughout Latin America
In the Trump-Kim deal, China is the biggest winner
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON MAY 12, 2018 03:49 PM IST
As US influence recedes with a partial drawdown of troops, China will gain another step toward becoming East Asia’s dominant diplomatic and economic player.
The turmoil in the US and Europe — including tech change and inequality — are crossing into the developing world
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON APR 15, 2018 07:33 AM IST
Where do all those energetic, ambitious young people go? The youth bulge we see in many developing countries can move from economic advantage to political threat as their path out of poverty is blocked. If they never join the active workforce, they will never have access to the education and training needed to earn 21st century jobs, and they know their children will fare no better
Angela Merkel is beleaguered but she is far from finished
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON MAR 31, 2018 04:08 PM IST
As she begins her fourth and final term as Germany’s chancellor, her party remains Germany’s strongest, and she is more popular than the party. Germany’s economy will continue to expand. Unfortunately, Europe and the world need more leadership than a frustrated and erratic Donald Trump and a beleaguered Angela Merkel can provide.
Friction between the US and China is likely to last through 2018
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON FEB 13, 2018 01:28 PM IST
Here’s the problem: Each side believes the other is more vulnerable. Trump officials believe that China needs continuous access to US markets to avoid a sharp economic slowdown that might provoke a political crisis. Chinese officials believe their president is much less vulnerable to pressure than Trump, who must listen to continuous complaints from US business leaders and face voters again soon enough
As the US scales back on foreign policy interventions, China is stepping into the vacuum
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON JAN 20, 2018 06:22 PM IST
As he begins his second five-year term, Xi has consolidated enough power at home to redefine China’s external environment and set new rules within it. His timing is perfect; China is stepping forward just at the moment that a politically embattled and distracted US president is scaling back US commitment to traditional allies and alliances. The United States has created a vacuum, and China stands ready to fill it
In 2018, regional security will matter most for war and peace
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON DEC 29, 2017 06:42 PM IST
In the new year, we’ll begin to see more clearly that connections between politics, security, and our economies are changing more quickly and becoming more complex than we might have imagined when 2017 began
HTLS column by Ian Bremmer: Foreign policy rides on Modi’s charisma
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON NOV 29, 2017 02:31 PM IST
PM Narendra Modi’s charisma, his determined push for economic development and his anti-corruption drive have made him broadly popular.
African National Congress could well lose power in the next polls
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON OCT 28, 2017 03:11 PM IST
The current government’s promises to turn things around don’t have much credibility. Jacob Zuma has survived nearly 800 separate charges of fraud, money-laundering, and graft, a court ruling that he violated the country’s constitution, multiple votes of no-confidence, and a rape trial. South Africa’s Central Bank governor has now called for a public investigation into ties between Zuma, business leaders, and a family of Indian businessmen known as the Guptas.
The power of China’s chequebook shows in its rising global influence
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON SEP 25, 2017 10:00 AM IST
Whether it is in Asia, Africa or Europe, China is using investment to get what it wants from countries and governments in need
Is it too early to get optimistic about the European Union?
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON AUG 12, 2017 09:35 PM IST
Germany under Angela Merkel and France under Emmanuel Macron are the bright spots, while developments in Italy, Turkey and Poland give cause for concern
On climate change, immigration, federal states can oppose Trump’s ‘America First’
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON JUL 13, 2017 04:31 PM IST
The Trump administration’s often rejectionist ‘America First’ approach to the rest of the world has given a new urgency for federal states and big cities in the US to strengthen ties with foreign governments, on issues like tackling climate change
Who is the next leader of the free world, now that the US is not?
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON JUN 20, 2017 04:10 PM IST
Who is leader of the free world today? Not Trump, the first US president since the 1930s who does not believe that international leadership is in the US national interest. Is it Europe? China?
As North Korea grows more aggressive, Trump will have to figure out ways to handle it
By Ian Bremmer
PUBLISHED ON MAY 24, 2017 01:28 PM IST
Given claims of North Korea and Kim Jong-un having developed intercontinental ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads, Donald Trump will have to be very careful in dealing with the country
A Le Pen presidency could lead to a financial disaster in France, EU
By Ian Bremmer
UPDATED ON APR 17, 2017 10:28 PM IST
Le Pen might not have majority support, but her voters seem much more motivated than those of any of her rivals. Last November, Donald Trump won support from just 26% of eligible US voters. Given the lukewarm support for Hillary Clinton and the decision by millions of Americans to stay home, Trump’s passionate 26% proved just enough for victory
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