Sign in

Nostradamus pollster sticks to his US election prediction, but adds major disclaimer as he receives ‘so much hate’

Nostradamus pollster Allan Lichtman has declared that his prediction about the winner of the 2024 US presidential election will not change.

Published on: Oct 28, 2024, 16:58:21 IST
Share
Share via
  • facebook
  • twitter
  • linkedin
  • whatsapp
Copy link
  • copy link

Nostradamus pollster Allan Lichtman has declared that his prediction about the winner of the 2024 US presidential election will not change.

Prediction Professor Allan Lichtman disclosed that he received an extraordinary level of hatred after he predicted Kamala Harris' win. (X)
Prediction Professor Allan Lichtman disclosed that he received an extraordinary level of hatred after he predicted Kamala Harris' win. (X)

While Lichtman's prediction says that Democratic contender will win the White House race scheduled to take place next week on 5 November, he claimed that he has “never experienced” this much “hate” during elections.

On his YouTube channel, the historian informed that his prediction, which is based on 160 years of precedent, “has not changed”.

He, however, said there's a possibility that he could be wrong. “It’s always possible that something so cataclysmic and so unprecedented could change the pattern of history.”

Lichtman opens up about experiencing hate this election

Since 1984, Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of nine out of ten presidential elections, earning him the moniker of “Nostradamus” of polls.

He uses the methodology called “The Keys to the White House”, which he developed with Russian scholar Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981 to predict the election contest with such accuracy.

Meanwhile, the polls indicate that the contest between GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump and his Democratic Kamala Harris is now closer than ever.

Also Read: Interview | Early poll can’t predict results, keep an open mind: Top US pollster

Calling the keys very robust, objective and quantitative, Licthman remarked, “My predictions have stood the test of time, my indicators have always been right.”

Lichtman insisted that his methodology and forecasts are completely “non-partisan,” underlining that he was right to anticipate the “two most conservative presidents of our time,” which he referred to as Trump in 2016 and Ronald Reagan in 1984 when he was elected for the second time.

However, the historian disclosed that he received an extraordinary level of hatred after he predicted Harris' win.

Speaking to Chris Cuomo of NewsNation, he said, “I have never experienced anything close to the hate that has been reaped upon me this time.”

According to him, he has been receiving offensive, violent, and threatening feedback and his family's safety and security have been jeopardised.

  • Shweta Kukreti
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Shweta Kukreti

    Shweta Kukreti has over 8 years of experience in covering Indian and world politics. She joined the Hindustan Times in 2024 and is primarily assigned to the US desk. She currently works as Deputy Chief Content Producer and reports on a wide range of topics, including US politics, immigration issues (especially H-1B visa) and major global events. Shweta strongly emphasizes team operations, which encompasses monitoring news, delegating tasks, editing, developing comprehensive coverage strategies, and crafting engaging, and data-informed narratives. She received the Digi Star Award at the Hindustan Times within a year of joining for her broad coverage of US politics. In 2025, she earned both a promotion and a redesignation, a significant achievement recognising her contributions and the strong value she brings to the team. She has previously worked with the Indian Express, HTDS, ANI and Republic World. Seniors in all the media organisations recognised her work. Regarding education, she earned a BA (Hons.) in Political Science and a master's degree from Delhi University, and she pursued a PG Diploma in English Journalism from the Indian Institution of Mass Communication (IIMC). She also holds a diploma in Women's Empowerment and Development from IGNOU University and a French certification course from Alliance Française de Delhi. If not working, you can find her exploring the hills and engaging in adventurous activities in Rishikesh and Himachal Pradesh. She loves to play badminton, volleyball, and chess, and spend time with her friends and family. She also enjoys spiritual activities.Read More