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Biden and Trump in close race even after presidential debate, polls show – but here's what data says about age concerns

Three new major national polls showed that Joe Biden is still in a close race with Donald Trump, after the president’s disastrous debate performance.

Published on: Jul 15, 2024, 12:46:16 IST
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Three new major national polls that were out on Sunday morning, July 14, showed that Joe Biden is still in a close race with Donald Trump, after the president’s disastrous debate performance. The polls, from CBS News, Fox News and NBC News, were conducted before the assassination attempt on Donald Trump on Saturday, July 13.

Biden and Trump in close race even after presidential debate, national polls show (AP Photo)
Biden and Trump in close race even after presidential debate, national polls show (AP Photo)

In any of the surveys, Biden’s numbers have not remarkably dipped. The decline that Democrats were afraid of following the presidential debate is not apparent in the poll results. However, it must be noted that Biden still continues to trail Trump by a small margin following the debate and ahead of the Republican convention, scheduled to be held in Milwaukee this week.

You can also take a look at this Polymarket data:

What are the recent national polls saying?

Coming to the recent national polls, the Fox News data showed that Trump is only 1 point ahead of Biden, 49 percent to 48 percent. In the last poll in mid June, Biden led by 2 points. The shift, however, is within the poll’s margin of error.

The NBC News poll shows Trump leading Biden, 45 percent to 43 percent. In the last survey in April, the presumptive Republican nominee led by 2 points.

The CBS News poll surveyed voters in the seven key Electoral College battleground states. It shows Trump leading, 50 percent to 48 percent. Just a week ago, Trump had been leading, 51 percent to 48 percent.

Biden’s presidential debate performance against Trump alarmed Democrats and led to calls for him to drop out of the race. The president, however, stood his ground, saying he would not quit and would even be back on stage for a second debate against Trump.

Biden’s frequent gaffes and absentmindedness at public events have prompted concerns about his age. In the NBC News poll, 79 percent of voters said they have major or moderate concerns that the 81-year-old may not have “the necessary mental and physical health to be president for a second term.” Only 50 percent said the same thing about Trump, who is 78 years old.

As of now, it is too early to determine if the assassination attempt on Trump will change the poll results. Time will tell.

  • Sumanti Sen
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Sumanti Sen

    Sumanti Sen covers everything that’s happening in the US, from politics to entertainment, but her expertise lies in covering crime news. She has comprehensively chronicled the Idaho student murders, the Laken Riley and Iryna Zarutska cases, and the killing of Charlie Kirk, among other incidents. Over the years, she has interviewed several victims/families of victims of crimes seeking justice. She digs up stories that might otherwise remain unheard, and does her bit to ensure that victims and survivors’ voices are heard. Sumanti’s many years of experience also include interviews with Hamas attack survivors and mental health experts, among others. Her coverage of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and interviews with survivors of the tragedy, coupled with her other works including the Titan submersible coverage, earned her the Digi Journo of the Quarter award during her first year at Hindustan Times. Sumanti actively tracks missing person cases in the United States, and peruses Reddit and other social media platforms to bring to light cases that frequently elude public attention. She has extensively covered the disappearances of Nancy Guthrie, Thomas Medlin, Beau Mann, and Sudiksha Konanki, among others. When not at work, you will either find her with her novels, or with her beloved rescue pooches.Read More