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Split in Dalit votes likely, Muslim factor to be at play in UP’s Nagina

Azad Samaj Party chief Chandra Shekhar Azad eyeing the BSP’s Jatav support base after filing his nomination papers from the constituency

Updated on: Mar 23, 2024, 05:34:05 IST
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LUCKNOW The Nagina Lok Sabha seat in Uttar Pradesh, which will go to polls in the first phase of Lok Sabha elections on April 19, is likely to see a division of Dalit votes with Muslim voters also playing a crucial role in deciding the fate of candidates. All eyes will be on Azad Samaj Party (ASP) chief Chandra Shekhar Azad, who is eyeing the BSP’s Jatav support base, after filing his nomination papers from the constituency on Friday.

Azad Samaj Party chief Chandra Shekhar Azad addressing a public meeting in Nagina on Friday. (Sourced)
Azad Samaj Party chief Chandra Shekhar Azad addressing a public meeting in Nagina on Friday. (Sourced)

During the day, Samajwadi Party’s Manoj Kumar also filed his nomination papers from the constituency. Two other candidates filed their papers – Har Kishor Singh of the Socialist Unity Centre of India (Communist) for the Moradabad parliamentary seat and Sanjay Kumar Bharti of the Rashtriya Samaj Dal (R) for the Rampur seat. So far, only these four nomination papers have been filed for the first phase of the LS polls in UP.

While the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has announced to field Om Kumar, sitting MLA from Nehtaur assembly seat, from this seat, the Samajwadi Party has fielded former judicial officer Manoj Kumar and the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) - that bagged the seat in the 2019 Lok Sabha election - shifted its sitting MP Girish Chandra to Bulandshahr and fielded Surendra Pal who belongs to the Jatav community.

After Jayant walked out of the INDIA bloc to join the NDA, there were no takers for the ASP chief in the alliance despite support from Congress leader Imran Masood, who is likely to contest from Saharanpur seat. Even as Chandra Shekhar Azad launched the poll campaign as INDIA bloc candidate, SP chief Akhilesh Yadav closed the doors by announcing Manoj Kumar as party candidate. In the 2022 assembly election, Azad was denied ticket by the SP-led alliance.

After filing papers, Azad held meetings in Dalit dominated areas to send a message that he will claim the support base of the BSP - Jatavs. The shifting of sitting BSP MP Girish Chandra, who belongs to the Jatav community, has baffled the Dalit community. Terming the decision to shift Chandra a strategic move by the party, a BSP leader said: “The party has given ticket to a young worker, Surendra Pal, who belongs to the Jatav community to give a message that hard working and loyal party workers will be rewarded with ticket.”

SP candidate Manoj Kumar also filed his nomination on Friday. Kumar said he had taken voluntary retirement from judicial service to contest the Lok Sabha election. The SP is working on the Muslim- OBC formula to win the seat.

Located in the Rohilkhand region of west UP, Nagina seat came into existence in 2009 Lok Sabha election. On the recommendation of the Delimitation Commission, it was carved out of the Bijnor LS seat. Among the five assembly seats in the constituency, Najibabad, Nagina and Noorpur were bagged by the SP in the 2022 assembly polls while the BJP won Dhampur and Nehtaur seats.

The support of Muslims (28% voters) and Dalits (22% voters) will decide the fate of the candidates here. SP candidate Yashvir Singh secured victory in 2009 LS polls, BJP candidate Yashwant Singh emerged victorious in 2014 elections while BSP candidate Girish Chandra secured victory in 2019 Lok Sabha election defeating BJP candidate Yashwant Singh.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Rajesh Kumar Singh

Rajesh Kumar Singh is Assistant Editor, Hindustan Times, at the political bureau in Lucknow. An Alumnus of Ramjas College, Delhi and the University of Delhi, he has covered politics in the Hindi heartland Uttar Pradesh and Bihar for three decades and has written extensively on Dalit and OBC politics. He travelled across Uttar Pradesh to cover the panchayat, assembly and Lok Sabha elections. Along with writing on development issues, governance and public policy has done crime reporting, including Maoist activities in Bihar as well as activities of gangsters in East Uttar Pradesh, Jungle Party gang active on UP- Bihar border, dacoit gangs in Bundelkhand region and Sand Mafia active in various districts of UP. Has done investigations and reporting exposing multi-crore NRHM scam in UP, Nutrition scam, Medicine supply scam, irregularities in the flood management projects, weapon smuggling and human trafficking on Indo- Nepal border. He highlighted the deaths of children due to encephalitis in the districts of East Uttar Pradesh; the central and state government took cognisance of the report to launch schemes to check deaths and improve the facilities in the health centres and hospitals. He also reported on the social issues in East Uttar Pradesh and Bundelkhand- migration, farming crisis, water crisis, plight of the deprived communities- Musahar, Vantongiyas, Sahariya and Kol communities. He covers state government departments. He also travels to write human-interest stories and in-depth stories from the ground in the Bundelkhand, Purvanchal, and Rohilkhand regions of Uttar Pradesh.

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