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Looking Ahead to 2022: Russia: Time-tested relations with broadening horizons

This is especially relevant because HT learns that Putin reassured India that Russia’s relations with the country were still important (and warm) despite the growing closeness between his country and China.

Published on: Dec 30, 2021, 15:10:07 IST
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Russian President Vladimir Putin visited India on December 6 for a total of 250 minutes because of his personal relationship with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. That he chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship. He could, after all, have done a virtual summit with PM Modi, like he has done twice this year with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

PREMIUMThat Putin chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship (File photo/AFP)
That Putin chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship (File photo/AFP)

This is

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited India on December 6 for a total of 250 minutes because of his personal relationship with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. That he chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship. He could, after all, have done a virtual summit with PM Modi, like he has done twice this year with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

PREMIUMThat Putin chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship (File photo/AFP)
That Putin chose to personally come to India, particularly at a time when the coronavirus pandemic was raging in Russia, speaks of his commitment to the bilateral relationship (File photo/AFP)

This is especially relevant because HT learns that Putin reassured India that Russia’s relations with the country were still important (and warm) despite the growing closeness between his country and China.

Indeed, Russia is as close to China as India is to the US, and it is believed that both countries decided that they would only focus on the bilateral relationship and not let any third-party (read China and US) soil decades of steady and reliable friendship. And while Modi and Putin may have differing perceptions on global issues, they decided to put these aside and focus only on a stronger bilateral relationship.

Putin’s visit coincided with the start of the delivery of two S-400 air defence systems from Russia to India — much needed for India’s security, especially because the Chinese PLA has deployed the same systems on the western and eastern sectors of the Line of Actual Control. The acquisition of the S-400 system was the need of the hour given that PLA is militarising the entire LAC, and India has cited national interest as the rationale for its purchase — which has been seen in some quarters as a slight to the US and also runs the risk of being hit by CATSAA sanctions.

The fact is, Russia, over the past decades, has supplied the same systems to India as it has to China — be it Su-30 MKI aircraft or Sovremenny class destroyers. It is now willing to offer the under-development S-500 system to both countries. But although a large part of the Indian military is equipped with Russian equipment, the Modi government wants to diversify this relationship into energy and trade rather than remaining focused only on defence.

The thinking in New Delhi is that the era of hardware buyer-seller relations between India and Russia needs to be redefined and expanded so that bilateral trade goes up and Russia plays an important part in India’s energy security needs.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has personally invested in relations with President Putin as he needs to correct the tilt that Moscow has towards Beijing due to US/western pressure on Russia. And with the US, Russia and China taking adversarial positions, India is looking at expanding political engagement with powers such as the UAE and Australia where there is a convergence on strategic interests.

With the rise of the Taliban in Afghanistan, both countries are on the same page on the threat of Islamic radicalisation and terrorism, especially because the Central Asian Republics are in the line of fire. Russia is comfortable with India reaching out to the Central Asian Republics, and the two countries can join hands to prevent the spread of ultra-conservative ideology to these liberal countries.

It helps that India-Russia relations are time-tested and not defined by which political party is in power on Raisina Hill.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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