Inflation slips to (-)0.9% in Jan, stays negative for 15 months
Deflationary pressure persisted for the 15th month in a row as inflation at the wholesale level slipped to (-)0.9% in January with some food articles turning less expensive.union budget Updated: Feb 17, 2016 16:11 IST
Deflationary pressure persisted for the 15th month in a row as inflation at the wholesale level slipped to (-)0.9% in January with some food articles turning less expensive.
Although in the negative zone since November 2014, it had started showing a rising trend in the past four months - from last September.
The Wholesale Price Index-based inflation was (-)0.73% in December. In January 2015, it was (-)0.95%.
As per the official data released on Monday, food inflation stood at 6.02% in January as against 8.17% in December.
Expressing concern over continued deflationary pressure, industry body Ficci said government should increase public spending in the forthcoming budget to boost demand.
“The government should not shy away from recalibrating the fiscal deficit target in order to push public investments with a view to add productive capacity to the economy,” Ficci said.
According to official data, inflation in pulses and onion eased to 44.91% and 5.51% respectively. The rate of price rise in the case of vegetables was 12.52% in January and for fruits, it stood at (-)2.32%.
In case of potato, it was (-)17.08% while for eggs, meat and fish came in at 5.69%.
The inflation print in the fuel and power segment was (-)9.21% and for manufactured products, it read (-)1.17% in January.
“Considering that inflation is within the target level of the government and the RBI, focus of policymakers should now shift to revive GDP and industrial growth,” said another industry body Assocham.
The November WPI inflation has been revised to (-)2.04% from the provisional estimate of (-)1.99%.
Assocham demanded that Reserve Bank cut its benchmark interest rate in the next bi-monthly monetary policy since inflation as targeted by the apex bank is well within the range, creating a room for further rate cut to support demand.
RBI is slated to come out with the first bi-monthly policy review for 2016-17 fiscal on April 5 and will take into consideration inflationary trends and also the data for February before deciding the monetary stance.
The central bank looks into mainly retail inflation data, based on Consumer Price Index (CPI), while firming up its monetary policy stance.
As per the data released last week, retail inflation has been rising for six straight months and stood at nearly one and a half-year high of 5.69% in January.
The Reserve Bank had projected retail inflation to be around 6% in January 2016 and lower further to 5% by March 2017.
ICRA senior economist Aditi Nayar said the January WPI inflation is in line with expectations. “We anticipate that WPI inflation will print a tad below zero in February 2016 barring a sizable uptick in crude oil prices in the remainder of this month”.
Although food prices have reported some moderation, Ficci said “in order to keep it under check going ahead, we do hope the Government will continue to take measures to manage supply side situation”.
RBI also takes into account industrial production numbers. As per the latest data, Index of Industrial Production (IIP) contracted 1.3% in December as against a decline of 3.4% in November.