The run-up to India’s 79th Independence Day has been mired in debates around citizenship and voting rights. The ongoing debate around Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of electoral rolls and controversies and claims and counterclaims about (West) Bengali migrant workers being dubbed Bangladeshis has also brought to fore questions about whether or not people being probed have enough documents. Another story in these pages earlier this week, looked at linguistic diasporas inside and outside India.
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All this raises the question: What
44% of migrants in India don’t transfer any documents
The Multiple Indicator Survey (MIS) data shows that 29% of Indians were migrants and 44% of migrants had not transferred any documents at all. The proportion of people who did not transfer voter ID cards is higher. The survey specifically asked if people had transferred exactly one of either ration card, voter ID card, passport, and Aadhaar card, or any combination of these four documents. 4.3% had transferred only their voter ID cards and 34.5% had transferred a combination of these four. This implies that at least 61.2% had not transferred voter ID cards. To be sure, this analysis must be read with two caveats. One, the survey was conducted in 2020, when a lot of urban migrants moved back to villages (amid the pandemic). Two, the MIS does not allow one to remove seasonal migrants from the analysis, who may not need to transfer documents. However, this analysis is meaningful despite these caveats because 71% of migrants listed marriage as the reason, a well-known trend in migration in India. Moreover, 97% migrants expressed no willingness to move out of the place of enumeration. This suggests most surveyed migrants weren’t seasonal migrants. Of the 3% that were willing to move, 80% did not transfer documents, as expected.
Those migrating for work or studies are even less likely to transfer documents
While they are a relatively small proportion of migrants, those migrating for work and studies were less likely to transfer documents. 67% and 88% of such migrants did not transfer documents compared to 35% of those migrating for marriage. To be sure, unlike the marriage migrants, those migrating with the earning member of the family were not much likely to transfer documents. At any rate, these numbers support the anecdotally known trend of people travelling to vote instead of transferring their documents.
The lack of document transfer is significant across states
The popular image of migrants may be of poor people migrating interstate for blue collar work, but that perception is not completely correct. As even the 2011 census showed, most migration is intrastate and the leading reason for migration is marriage; women drive this trend. Therefore, the problem of document transfer is present across states at different levels of development and with different work-migration patterns. For example, Odisha (known as a poor state with outflow of interstate migrant workers) has almost the same proportion of migrants in its population as Delhi (known as a rich city with inflow of interstate migrant workers), and more than 50% of migrants in each reported not transferring any documents at all.
To be sure, as the accompanying chart shows, the proportion of migrants that transfer documents does vary significantly across states. The point of this analysis is that it does not have easily predictable patterns that one can be just as easily addressed. It also lends credibility to the anecdotally known problem that getting a document made or transferred in India is a cumbersome exercise and rampant with petty corruption. In other words, unless facing dire consequences, people are unlikely to engage in the exercise willingly. If authorities expect migrants to transfer documents in India – the SIR exercise essentially expects people to do this even if they migrate to a different constituency in the same district – it is they who need to step up and make the process seamless and free of harassment.
Abhishek Jha is Assistant Editor-Data at Hindustan Times. He uses statistical programming to generate newsworthy insights from large datasets. He is part of the team that produces Number Theory, a daily data story feature of the paper’s print edition. Since March 2024, he has been writing Weather Bee, a weekly column for the Hindustan Times website. He is a chemical engineer by training, who specialises in stories related to weather, climate, and the environment. Jha has been at HT since 2018, where he offers data-driven perspective and analysis on politics, environment, weather, climate, economy and society. His work includes data coverage of elections in India and abroad, including the 2019 and 2024 Lok Sabha elections; the disasters and extreme weather resulting from changing climate, such as floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, and dwindling snow cap in the Himalayas; the factors that drive poor air quality in northern India; the changing patterns of land use; the Covid-19 pandemic and its impact on labour market conditions; the changing pattern of consumer spending seen in the new consumer spending surveys; and social norms seen in the surveys such as the National Family Health Survey.
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Home/Editors Pick/Indian migrants' problem of document transfers | Number Theory
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