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Action against errant Maldives ministers after Mohammed Muizzu's return from China?

Male is expected to further harden its stance till the Majlis election in April 2024.

Published on: Jan 9, 2024, 12:28:03 IST
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New Delhi: Although India conveyed a verbal demarche to Maldives envoy Ibrahim Shaheeb on Monday, Male will not take any further action on the suspended three junior ministers till President Mohammed Muizzu returns from his visit to Beijing tomorrow.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a meeting with President of Maldives Mohamed Muizzu. (PTI file)
Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a meeting with President of Maldives Mohamed Muizzu. (PTI file)

While New Delhi is livid over derogatory and uncalled for comments on Prime Minister Narendra Modi by the three junior ministers, many on Raisina Hill believe that the ministers had sanction from the President to take on India before he embarked on a fundraising trip to China. Given the Xi Jinping regime’s strategic interest in setting up bases in the Indian Ocean like Gwadar in Pakistan and Hambantota in Sri Lanka, it is understood that Beijing will provide aid on interest through the Chinese Exim Bank to Male to build infrastructure in the island nation.

Incidentally, China had also asked permission from President Muizzu to allow the surveillance vessel Hong Yang 3 to conduct deep sea exploration off the coast of Maldives between January and May 2024. The permission to that vessel has not been granted till now.

Given the politics that Muizzu is playing against India, Male is expected to further harden its stance till the Majlis election in April 2024. President Muizzu’s anti-India stance is quite evident as he made Turkey the first port of call after he was sworn in. He then secured a USD 200 million loan from UAE-Saudi Arabia during his visit to COP28 in Dubai in December. And now he has made a trip to Beijing much to the chagrin of India.

Winning the Maldives election on the “Out India” campaign, Muizzu wants India to take back the unarmed IAF and Indian Navy crew for flying two ALH helicopters and one offshore patrol vessel and replace them with civilian crew. Even though there is not a single Indian trooper with arms deployed in the Maldives, Muizzu has tried to convey as if the previous Ibrahim Solih government had given permission to New Delhi to deploy troops in the island nation.

While New Delhi has made it clear that the onus of repairing bilateral ties damaged by uncalled for remarks by junior ministers lies on Male, it is quite evident to India that Muizzu will play the anti-India card to get financial support from adversaries of New Delhi. Last time Sri Lanka played this game and went down the economic drain.

  • Shishir Gupta
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Shishir Gupta

    Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.Read More