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Birth, death registration data debunks claim of suppressed Covid-19 deaths: VK Paul

On the lag in reporting of deaths and states often being found reconciling death numbers, Paul said it shows states were going to extra length to report deaths and there is nothing to hide.

Published on: May 3, 2022, 23:34:38 IST
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New Delhi: The annual birth and death registration data released on Tuesday help debunk the allegations that India is massively under-reporting deaths during Covid-19, said VK Paul, member (health), Niti Aayog.

The annual birth and death registration data released on Tuesday help debunk the allegations that India is massively under-reporting deaths during Covid-19, according to Niti Aayog officials. (PTI PHOTO.)
The annual birth and death registration data released on Tuesday help debunk the allegations that India is massively under-reporting deaths during Covid-19, according to Niti Aayog officials. (PTI PHOTO.)

“Actual data is right before everyone, and shows an increase of 4,75,000 deaths from 2019-2020, which is all-cause mortality and not just deaths due to Covid-19. 2018-19 had about 7 lakh excess deaths and it didn’t have a disease called Covid-19. All those talk about eight times more deaths than what’s reported fall flat after looking at this actual data from within the country,” he said.

Paul also said that modeling exercises become futile when you have actual data “Nobody should use modeling anymore, and come up with exorbitant multiples based on those modeling exercises. Apart from Covid-19 additionalaity there are other factors such as increase in population, increase in reporting, more awareness etc,” he said.

According to Paul, this data has to a very large extent countered all allegations about more Covid-19 deaths having happened in India than reported officially.

“It is in fact helping us to understand the overall demographic effects that could be there; the trends,” he said.

While there is a system in place to make other data sets like INSACOG or adverse events following immunisation public, there is a lag.

Paul said, “It should happen in time and the agencies are trying their best. Our data be it infant mortality rate or under-5 mortality etc, it is known world over. These systems are in place but there is always room for improvement. And improvement will happen over time.”

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Rhythma Kaul

Rhythma Kaul is the national health editor of the Hindustan Times. She has been reporting on public health, medicine, and medical research, with a particular focus on how government decisions and health system reforms shape people’s lives. Rhythma has over 25 years of journalistic experience. She joined Hindustan Times in 2008, and has since covered everything from pandemics and infectious diseases to cutting‑edge medical research and climate‑related health challenges. Her stories routinely track the work of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, department of pharmaceuticals, and key national health programmes, making complex medical science and policy accessible to a wide audience. One of her prominent news breaks has been the 2012 Baby Falak case: A two-year-old brutally battered baby girl was admitted to AIIMS-Delhi with severe head injuries, multiple fractures, human bite marks, and burns. The police investigation revealed this to be a case of multi-state human-trafficking racket. She was profiled by The Wall Street Journal for breaking this story. Rhythma holds a Master’s degree from Jawaharlal Nehru University, Delhi. Prior to Hindustan Times, she worked with the India Today Group. Rhythma can be contacted at rhythma.kaul@hindustantimes.com. Her X handle is @RamblingBrook.

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