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China cautious, India determined to restore peace on Ladakh border

The road to normalization of bilateral ties between India and China lies in Beijing restoring legitimate patrolling rights of the Indian Army in Depsang Plains and Charding Nullah junction in Demchok followed by de-escalation of forces all along the 3488 km LAC.

Published on: Mar 3, 2023, 09:22:35 IST
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New Delhi: Even though External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has known his Chinese counterpart Qin Gang during his tenure as Indian Ambassador to Beijing in the past decade when the latter was first head of external publicity and then the chief of protocol, their first meeting was cautious with focus on bringing back peace and tranquility on the 3488 km still to be demarcated border.

Situation in East Ladakh is stable but unpredictable with both sides ready and prepared all along the LAC
Situation in East Ladakh is stable but unpredictable with both sides ready and prepared all along the LAC

While Minister Qin, who is known to have the ears of President Xi Jinping, was apparently hesitant in his new role as China’s Foreign Minister, EAM Jaishankar made it quite evident that present bilateral ties were abnormal and detrimental to the past peace and tranquility agreements and mechanisms.

Eversince the PLA unilaterally tried to change the ground situation in May 2020 with transgressions in north Pangong Tso, Gogra-Hot Springs, Khugrang nullah and Galwan Valley, the two armies are locked in a stand-off in East Ladakh with men, missiles, rockets and armor on both sides. While the potential explosive situation on the 1597 km long Line of Actual Control (LAC) has been averted with both armies creating buffer zones or no patrolling areas on all the friction points, there has been no de-escalation of forces on either side for the past three years. In fact, the Indian Army was forced to strengthen its deployment in the middle and eastern sector of the LAC with the PLA bringing in additional troops before the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party last October. These additional forces are still to return to their barracks though some thinning of PLA forces has been seen across the easternmost side of the border across Arunachal Pradesh.

Fact is that with the Indian Army used to high altitude deployment since Operation Meghdoot in Siachen on April 13, 1984, the officers and troopers are gung-ho in East Ladakh and prepared to contest every inch of Indian territory. Pressure is now on the PLA, which has deployed conscripts in frozen East Ladakh for the past three years without any relief. The weather in East Ladakh is extreme with howling winds, below zero temperatures and direct sun in a land devoid of trees and grass.

Even though both the countries are constantly in touch with each other through institutionalized military and diplomatic channels, the Narendra Modi government is clear that the PLA must reverse its aggression all along the LAC and de-escalate forces to the past levels. The national security planners are constantly monitoring the situation on the LAC and will defend Indian territory but without provoking the other side despite taunts from the Indian opposition parties especially Congress. With both sides in dialogue while holding positions on ground, it is a long haul to peace and tranquility.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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