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For Modi, economic security is priority with China, not profit for Indian business

Galwan clash was the turning point for India after which there was a clampdown to unbridled visa giving to Chinese

Updated on: Jun 21, 2024, 15:41:52 IST
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New Delhi: The number of visas issued to Chinese nationals by India has seen a sharp drop since the border clash between soldiers of the Indian Army and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) at Galwan four years ago, with the Narendra Modi government focusing sharply on national economic security, according to top officials and data accessed by HT.

A file photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Chinese president Xi Jinping
A file photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Chinese president Xi Jinping

Twenty Indian soldiers, including Colonel Santosh Babu, lost their lives at Galwan while trying to push back an attempt by the PLA to nibble at Indian territory in East Ladakh. An unspecified number of Chinese soldiers were also killed in the skirmish.

HT has learnt from senior officials in the national security establishment and economic ministries that about 200,000 visas were issued to Chinese nationals in 2019 before the pandemic struck and the June 15, 2020 Galwan clash, and that this number was brought down to just 2,000 in 2024 after a structural screening of Chinese investments in India.

However, the government in the past eight months has issued about 1,500 visas to Chinese nationals – of which around 1,000 visas have been to facilitate Indian electronics industry demands. Another 1,000 such visas are in the pipeline, most of them again for the electronics industry based on intensive screening.

Yuan Wang 7 ballistic missile tracker 1000 km south of Kaniyakumari.

Also read: India lodges strong protest with Canada over Khalistani protests in Vancouver

While the Indian electronic industry claims job losses due to the denial of visas to Chinese businessmen and workers, official data released on June 14 showed India’s merchandise exports in May 2024 jumped over 9% percent on an annualised basis, driven by petroleum products, engineering goods and electronics, in that order. India exported electronic goods worth $29.12 billion in FY 2024 compared to $23.55 billion in FY 2023, largely due to the PLI scheme.

According to five top officials, the structural screening of Chinese investments post-Galwan revealed that Chinese telecommunication companies such as Vivo were violating Indian laws, and were even charged by the Enforcement Directorate for laundering funds to China to evade Indian taxes. ED has accused Vivo of siphoning about $13 billion back to China, apart from violations of visa conditions by its executives and workers.

"We are deeply alarmed by the current action of the authorities. The recent arrests demonstrate continued harassment and as such include an environment of uncertainty amongst the wider industry landscape. We are resolute in using all legal avenues to address and challenge these accusations," Vivo said in a statement after the ED action.

While Indian industry clamors for more visas for Chinese workers and technicians, the national security establishment -- including the economic ministries -- are clear that visas will only be issued after vetting, as unchecked issuance of visas will hit India’s "Atmanirbhar Bharat" plan and impact domestic manufacturing.

India-China bilateral ties have been in the deep freeze since the PLA transgressions in May 2020, with Beijing still creating hurdles to the Indian Army patrolling its own side of the Line of Actual Control in Ladakh. Even after multiple rounds of military and diplomatic talks, PLA is still to de-escalate from LAC and restore the status quo ante in East Ladakh. Four years after Galwan, the Chinese military is deployed in full strength in East Ladakh, with Chinese reserves backing them from the hinterland.

The situation in the Indian Ocean Region is no different as Chinese surveillance ships are deployed in the region round the year. Even on Thursday, Chinese ballistic missile tracker Yuan Wang 7 was deployed 1,000 kilometers south of Kanyakumari and PLA Navy’s anti-piracy forces were deployed in Djibouti, Gulf of Aden and in the Madagascar channel.

One official said that with the Xi Jinping regime continuing to put pressure on India on land and sea, the Modi government had no option but to take steps to ensure the economy is less dependent on China. “India’s national economic security cannot be compromised for a few pieces of silver…. Visas will be issued for Chinese technicians and businessmen only after screening with assurance that travel conditions will not be violated,” said a Cabinet minister who asked not to be named.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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