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Education expenditure stuck at 2.5% of GDP amid rising subsidies: 16th Finance Commission

The commission has called on states to review their spending priorities to protect growth-enhancing sectors such as education from fiscal compression.

Published on: Feb 3, 2026, 14:10:59 IST
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Flagging a decade-long stagnation in public spending on education, the 16th Finance Commission (FC-16) has warned that education expenditure has remained on a “relatively stable trajectory”, stuck at around 2.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) over the last decade from 2011-12 to 2023-24, as rising subsidies and committed expenditures have reduced states’ “discretionary spending space” for investment in human capital.

For representational purposes only. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)
For representational purposes only. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)

The commission has called on states to review their spending priorities to protect growth-enhancing sectors such as education from fiscal compression amid rising subsidies and committed expenditures on pensions and salaries.

The report of the 16th Finance Commission was tabled by Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman in Parliament on Sunday. In its report, the commission noted that states’ expenditure on education fluctuated narrowly between 2.2% and 2.5% of GDP from 2011-12 to 2023-24, with no sustained upward shift despite repeated policy commitments to human capital development. In 2023-24, education spending stood at 2.2% of GDP, lower than its Covid-19 pandemic-era peak of 2.5% in 2020-21, according to audited state finance accounts cited by the commission.

An analysis of budgets and finance accounts of 21 large states by the commission found that total spending on subsidies rose from 2.2% of their gross state domestic product (GSDP) in 2018-19 to 2.7% in 2023-24. Of the nearly 5.6 lakh crore spent on subsidies in 2023-24, almost half went to the power sector (34.2%) and social security pensions (15.5%).

A snapshot comparison of subsidy composition by the commission showed that the share of agriculture subsidies rose sharply from 4.8% in 2018-19 to 15.6% in 2025-26, driven largely by the cash transfer programme under the Pradhan Mantri Kisan Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) scheme. In contrast, health and education together accounted for 7% of total subsidies in 2018-19, a share that declined to 5% in 2025-26, even as overall subsidy outlays expanded.

Stating that once implemented, a subsidy or transfer scheme tends to remain in place indefinitely, the commission said this “reduces the already limited space for other expenditures, including those on infrastructure, health, education and law and order.”

The commission said subsidies “have a legitimate role in redistribution and provision of public goods or private goods with large positive externalities”, but cautioned that “imperatives of fiscal prudence cannot be ignored”, especially as rising subsidy commitments strain state finances.

“Borrowing for expenditure on schemes of subsidies and transfers is not sound fiscal policy. The recent acceleration in the growth of subsidies and transfers needs to be reversed,” the commission said, recommending that states “review and rationalise their schemes of subsidies and retain only those schemes that target the poor effectively.”

It said subsidy schemes involving unconditional transfers and driven by populism “crowd out capital expenditure and other critical expenditures related to the provision of basic services, such as education and health.”

In December 2024, Union education minister Dharmendra Pradhan told the Rajya Sabha that budget allocation for the ministry of education in the Union Budget between 2021-22 and 2023-24 remained at 0.4% of the country’s GDP. Pradhan, however, said a comprehensive assessment of education spending must include expenditure by all central ministries and departments, as well as all states and Union Territories. Citing the ‘Analysis of Budgeted Expenditure on Education (2019-20 to 2021-22)’, he said the total education expenditure stood at 4.12% of GDP in 2021-22.

The National Education Policy 2020 endorses public investment in education by the Centre and states to reach 6% of GDP.

Educationist Anita Rampal, a former faculty member at Delhi University’s faculty of education, said education spending needs closer scrutiny beyond average state-level figures. “States such as Kerala and Tamil Nadu have performed well in education and have made adequate state provisions, but last year they were unfairly deprived of their allocation of central funds for school education. So we need to ask why states are not getting their adequate and rightful funding from the Union fund pool,” she said.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Sanjay Maurya

Sanjay Maurya is a Principal Correspondent with Hindustan Times, where he covers education, with a focus on school and higher education, competitive examinations, education policy and governance. Working as part of the National Bureau, he is based in New Delhi and reports on the Ministry of Education and covers various statutory bodies like UGC, AICTE and NCTE and autonomous bodies like CBSE and NCERT. His reporting also tracks the implementation of key government reforms and policies from school education to higher education including in IITs, NITs, IIMs, central and state universities, and their impact on students and educational institutions. His reporting on the irregularities and rushed implementation of CBSE's On-Screen Marking (OSM) system for evaluation of Class 12 board exams 2026, triggered administrative action, leading to the transfer of the board's two senior-most officials and the constitution of a committee to probe alleged irregularities in procurement process of the system. He joined Hindustan Times in December 2024. Prior to that, he had a three-year stint at Careers360, where he reported on school and higher education, entrance examinations, admissions, rankings and various education policies involving universities and professional education bodies. Over the years, Maurya has reported extensively on major developments in India's education sector, including the implementation of the National Education Policy (NEP) 2020, reforms in the National Testing Agency (NTA) following the NEET-UG 2024 controversy, changes in school education, higher education regulation, and the evolution of entrance examinations such as NEET, JEE and CUET. He regularly produces data-driven and explanatory stories based on government documents, parliamentary proceedings, court records and official data. His focus remains on helping readers understand how education policies and institutional decisions affect millions of students, teachers and educational institutions across the country.

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