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Food prices drive retail inflation to three-month high of 4.81%

Food prices in June jumped 4.49%, compared to a 2.96% climb in the previous month, pushing up overall inflation numbers

Updated on: Jul 12, 2023, 18:57:00 IST
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NEW DELHI: Average retail inflation in June 2023 rose by an annualised 4.81%, a three-month high, against an increase of 4.31% in May, led by runaway grocery and food prices, data released by the government on Wednesday showed.

Vendors arrange vegetables on their carts at a wholesale vegetable market (Reuters File Photo)
Vendors arrange vegetables on their carts at a wholesale vegetable market (Reuters File Photo)

Food prices in June jumped 4.49%, compared to a 2.96% climb in the previous month, pushing up overall inflation numbers, as extreme weather, a delayed monsoon and torrential rains in major food-bowl states, disrupted supplies.

Consumer inflation cooled to 4.5% in May, falling to the lowest level in 25 months and coming within the central bank’s target range of 4% plus or minus 2% for the third straight month.

Consumers continued to fret about unprecedented high prices of tomato, a kitchen staple. Rates of the vegetable have climbed to 240-Rs260 a kg in major cities, including the national capital, on the back of heavy rains and lower output during the March-June period, mainly because of adverse weather.

Poor households are disproportionately affected by an increase in food prices as they tend to spend more on food items as a proportion of their overall monthly spending. “I have never seen such high vegetable prices. Chicken is cheaper than tomatoes,” said Pintu Singh, a daily-wager in east Delhi.

Vegetable prices witness a routine uptick during summers due to seasonality related factors. The current spell of high increase in prices of some specific kitchen staples is rather abnormal and mainly due to weather, said Sonal Varma, an economist with the investment advisory firm Nomura.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its June monetary policy statement, cut its inflation forecast from 5.2% to 5.1% but has said there could be upside risks to inflation from food prices if weather turns out to be unfavourable.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Zia Haq

Zia Haq reports on public policy, economy and agriculture. Particularly interested in development economics and growth theories.

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