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Karnataka exit polls: Congress has edge over ruling BJP, JDS key player. 10 points

May 11, 2023 12:01 AM IST

At least three exit polls on the Karnataka assembly election 2023 predicted the Congress's victory.

At least three exit polls on the Karnataka assembly election 2023 on Wednesday predicted the Congress's victory, while most pollsters claimed there could be a tight contest between the ruling Bharatiya Janata and the opposition party, with HD Deve Gowda's Janata Dal (Secular) likely to a play a kingmaker's role.

Karnataka CM Basavaraj Bommai, Congress leader DK Shivakumar and JDS HD Kumaraswamy.

The result of the three-cornered contest between the BJP, Congress and Janata Dal (Secular) will be announced on May 13.

Top 10 points on Karnataka exit polls 2023

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1. India Today-Axis My India predicted a clear majority for the Congress with 122-140 seats in the 224-member assembly and gave the BJP 62-80 seats. It gave 20-25 seats to the JD(S), the third major player in the race.

2. News 24-Today's Chanakya also forecast a majority for the Congress with 120 seats as against 92 seats for the BJP and 12 for the JD(S).

3. While the ABP News-C Voter exit poll predicted that the Congress would get 100-112 seats, BJP 83-95, JD(S) 21-29, the Republic TV-P MARQ forecast that the Congress will get 94-108 seats, the BJP 85-100 and JD(S) 24-32.

4. The India TV-CNX exit polls gave the Congress 110-120 seats and the BJP 80-90 seats. They predicted 20-24 seats for the JD(S).

5. The TV9 Bharatvarsh-Polstrat exit poll claimed that the Congress is likely to get 99-109 seats, the BJP 88-98 and the JD(S) 21-26

6. The Zee News-Matrize Agency predicted that the Congress would get 103-118, the BJP 79-94 and the JD(S) 25-33.

7. The News Nation-CGS poll said the BJP would get 114 seats, the Congress 86 and the JD(S) 21.

8. The Suvarna News-Jan Ki Baat forecast that the BJP was likely to win 94-117, Congress 91-106 and the JD(S) 14-24.

9. Times Now-ETG exit polls gave 113 seats to the Congress and 85 to the BJP. It predicted 23 seats for JD (S).

10. In the 2018 assembly elections, the BJP emerged as the single largest party by winning 104 seats out of the total 224, followed by the Congress at 80 and JD(S) at 37. There was one independent member, while BSP and Karnataka Pragnyavantha Janata Party (KPJP) had one legislator each.

(Health warning: Exit poll predictions often get it wrong)

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