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Number Theory: Prez Murmu’s concerns about criminal justice system are spot-on

An HT analysis of prison statistics for 2021 released earlier this year suggests that the President’s comments about how the criminal justice system is biased against the poor and underprivileged are backed by data.

Updated on: Nov 30, 2022, 13:51:33 IST
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Speaking at the Constitution Day celebrations organized by the Supreme Court on November 26, President Droupadi Murmu spoke at length about how the criminal justice system has failed the poorest of the poor. “President Murmu struck an emotional chord with the judges and lawyers regarding the plight faced by prisoners whose trial takes years to be decided while they remain incarcerated for years without being aware of their fundamental rights...”, HT reported. The President also spoke about how the poor

PREMIUMNumber Theory: Prez Murmu’s concerns about criminal justice system are spot-on
Number Theory: Prez Murmu’s concerns about criminal justice system are spot-on

Incarcerated under trial prisoners are the main reason for overcrowded prisons

Overcrowding in prisons is not because of a large number of people convicted of crimes. In fact, on average, convicts have been just around 30% of all prisoners in Indian jails since 2010. In 2021, they were just 22% of all prisoners, the lowest share since 2010. It is under trial prisoners – on average 69% of all prisoners since 2010 – who are the reason for overcrowding . A breakup of their duration of confinement in 2021 shows that 29% of under trial prisoners had been inmates for over an year and 16% for over two years. If one were to consider releasing such long-term under trial prisoners, even as a theoretical exercise, it would be enough to end the problem of overcrowding. For 2021, the number of prisoners would be higher than the total prison capacity by just 278 prisoners or 0.06% of capacity.

Under trial prisoners are also accused of less severe crimes

Among those convicted of crimes under the Indian Penal Code, 88% were in prison for “offences affecting the human body”, such as murder, kidnapping, or rape. Among under trial prisoners, this proportion was relatively lower at 64%. 29% of under trials accused of IPC crimes were in prison for “offences against property”, such as theft and robbery, compared to 9% among convicts. The breakup of this group of offences also shows under-trials being accused of the relatively less severe crimes (theft as opposed to robbery) in the group compared to convicts.

Demographic data shows the socio-economic link to overcrowding problem

The President also highlighted the problem of language and cost being a roadblock in accessing justice. While it is difficult to establish a cause-effect relationship without an academic study, a demographic breakup of prisoners shows that the poor and uneducated are indeed more likely to be in prison. A quarter of both under-trials and convicts were illiterate in 2021 and around 40% were educated below the 10th standard. Those with higher levels of education were only around 10% of the both prisoners and convicts. Caste and religion-wise breakup similarly shows a slightly higher proportion of Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes, and Muslims among prisoners than their share in population. To the extent that this over-representation is because such communities cannot access justice or because they have to resort to crime to fulfil their monetary needs, fixing the problem of overcrowding in prisons might need work beyond what judges alone can do when deciding cases.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Abhishek Jha

Abhishek Jha is Assistant Editor-Data at Hindustan Times. He uses statistical programming to generate newsworthy insights from large datasets. He is part of the team that produces Number Theory, a daily data story feature of the paper’s print edition. Since March 2024, he has been writing Weather Bee, a weekly column for the Hindustan Times website. He is a chemical engineer by training, who specialises in stories related to weather, climate, and the environment. Jha has been at HT since 2018, where he offers data-driven perspective and analysis on politics, environment, weather, climate, economy and society. His work includes data coverage of elections in India and abroad, including the 2019 and 2024 Lok Sabha elections; the disasters and extreme weather resulting from changing climate, such as floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, and dwindling snow cap in the Himalayas; the factors that drive poor air quality in northern India; the changing patterns of land use; the Covid-19 pandemic and its impact on labour market conditions; the changing pattern of consumer spending seen in the new consumer spending surveys; and social norms seen in the surveys such as the National Family Health Survey.

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