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View: Modi’s neighborhood first policy is focused on stability not on politics

A decade ago, Prime Minister Narendra Modi spelled out his new vision to handle neighborhood nations to the then Foreign Secretary Subrahmanyam Jaishankar.

Published on: Oct 9, 2024, 12:01:05 IST
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New Delhi: Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu’s on-going five day visit to India is actually a vindication of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s neighborhood first policy, aimed at keeping the bilateral ties Teflon coated from the sinusoidal curve of democratic politics. Muizzu, who got elected Maldives President on ‘Out India’ campaign in September-October 2023, has come back to Bharat on an Indian Air Force plane with 12 Cabinet ministers to sign the Comprehensive Economic Maritime Security Partnership agreement. What is more significant is that he has made a call to Indian tourists to come back to the Indian Ocean littoral state.

EAM S Jaishankar with PM Narendra Modi.
EAM S Jaishankar with PM Narendra Modi.

A decade ago, Prime Minister Narendra Modi spelled out his new vision to handle neighborhood nations to the then Foreign Secretary Subrahmanyam Jaishankar. He told Jaishankar that given its stature, size and shared history, India will always be a factor in neighborhood politics as the majority of countries in the Indian sub-continent are democracies. The PM said that China will always be a factor of concern as it will try to influence the Indian neighborhood to restrain the rise of Bharat. Similarly, Western powers, he told Jaishankar, will try to dabble in the Indian neighborhood to get a foothold for their own power play as seen in Bangladesh today. PM Modi said that India should forge stable relationships in the neighborhood which are independent of vagaries of democratic politics.

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While India is all for promoting its neighborhood first policy, the Modi government has also not shied away from bluntly stating its national interests with the neighbors. It has made it clear to Pakistan that there will be a lethal response to its cross-border terrorism policy towards India. It has also made it clear to Indian Ocean littoral states that they must keep India’s national security sensitivities in mind vis-à-vis China while allowing PL:A spy ship into their exclusive economic zones. The west supported Interim government of Bangladesh was told in no uncertain terms to protect the Hindu minorities from rampaging Islamists post removal of Sheikh Hasina from Dhaka.

While Muizzu played the anti-India card initially, he soon realized that only India will financially support projects that Male requires as China will only invest into those projects that will help Beijing at a later date. For instance, the Greater Male Connectivity Project, water and sanitation projects undertaken by India will transform the Island nation without any vested interests of Bharat. India is currently purchasing power from Nepal and Bhutan, supplying power and fuel to Bangladesh, building infrastructure in Sri Lanka and Maldives, while offering all the neighbors increased medical visas for treatment in India. Fact is that India is playing a role of supplier, consumer, developer, builder and promoter in the neighborhood except Pakistan, which is staring at economic abyss due to poor governance and high interest loans from China.

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While India was the first to respond to vaccine requirements in the neighborhood during the global pandemic that had origins in China, it has also become the first responder to financial distress situations in the sub-continent without any vested interest or leverage. In the past decade, governments have changed in Sri Lanka, Nepal, Maldives and Bangladesh, but the Modi government’s commitment to the neighbors is irrespective of who is in power and as long as it does not harbor anti-India forces. Mohamed Muizzu’s visit to India and his call for Indian tourists to return is also an indicator of India’s purchasing power. India also reached out to new Sri Lankan President Aruna Kumara Dissanayake as soon as he was elected and the new leader also ensured that India’s interests would be protected. Fact is that India had anticipated Diassanayake’s ascent to power as the Leftist leader came on a visit to New Delhi earlier in the year.

With India set to surpass Japan as the fourth largest economy in 2025-26, it is only logical that the Modi government will face competition and criticism from both the west and the Asian powers. But Modi’s neighborhood first policy is yielding dividends as Muizzu today visits Bengaluru, a place where the first lady had completed her college education.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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