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In Ethiopia, Prosopis spread by 31,127 hectares a year; researchers linked it to $602 million in ecosystem-service losses over 31 years

Prosopis, brought to Ethiopia to help, spread about 31,127 hectares a year in Afar. Researchers estimate land changes cost $602 million in ecosystem services.

Published on: Oct 20, 2026, 09:01:27 IST
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In Ethiopia, a tree brought in to solve one problem ended up causing a much bigger one. Prosopis was introduced to help, and it has since spread across land herders depend on., and it has since spread across land herders depend on. According to a study in Science of the Total Environment, led by Hailu Shiferaw of Addis Ababa University, it spread by about 31,127 hectares a year between 1986 and 2017. Researchers estimated that land changes in the region reduced ecosystem-service value by about $602 million over 31 years. Ecosystem services are the benefits people obtain from nature.

Why was Prosopis planted

Planted for firewood and soil protection, Prosopis now covers about 12.3% of the Afar Region. (AI-generated/ChatGPT)
Planted for firewood and soil protection, Prosopis now covers about 12.3% of the Afar Region. (AI-generated/ChatGPT)

Prosopis is native to Central and South America. Several Prosopis species and hybrids were planted outside their native range in the 19th and 20th centuries, including in Australia, South Asia, and eastern Africa. It was meant to provide fuelwood, charcoal, animal fodder, and timber, stabilize soil on degraded land, and help prevent desertification.

A Scientific Reports paper that mapped the tree dates its first planting in Ethiopia to the 1970s and 80s. The trouble began in the early 1990s when the tree started to invade croplands, grasslands, riverbanks and roadsides. It estimates that within about 35 years of its introduction, it had invaded roughly 1.17 million hectares, or 12.3 percent of the region.

Deep Dive

Why was Prosopis introduced to Ethiopia, and what impact did it have?

It was planted for fuelwood, charcoal, fodder and timber, and to stabilize degraded soil and help prevent desertification. It later invaded grazing and other lands; researchers estimated land changes reduced ecosystem-service value by about $602 million over 31 years.

How does Prosopis spread along the Awash River?

Floods can carry its pods and seeds downstream. Researchers also found that distance to rivers, roads and villages was more important to predicted spread than climate or terrain.

Have other plants introduced for practical uses also spread beyond their intended areas?

Yes. The articles describe gorse introduced in Hawaii for sheep forage, bicolor lespedeza planted in the US for erosion control and wildlife habitat, and white sweetclover introduced in Alaska for roadside revegetation. Each later spread beyond its original use.
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Prosopis juliflora, a tree native to South and Central America, was planted in Ethiopia in the 1970s and 1980s.

How much land it took over

The team used two approaches to estimate the impact of land changes on ecosystem-service values. The estimated average cost over 31 years was about $602 million, with a range of $112 million to $1,091 million. This is a huge cost, the authors point out, which has a major impact on rural livelihoods. The Scientific Reports paper says the Afar people’s main livelihood is still pastoralism, herding livestock along the floodplains of the Awash River during droughts. It also describes Prosopis as a source of conflict between different herding communities due to a lack of grazing land. Dr. Urs Schaffner from CABI is one of the authors of the study.

Where it could spread next

The team mapped Prosopis using satellite data and 2,722 field plots, and the model was 92% accurate. The model found that the distance to rivers, roads, and villages was more important for future spread than climate or terrain. River floods can carry pods and seeds downstream. The findings suggest the invasion along the Awash River will continue and could accelerate the loss of drought-season grazing land. More work is needed to understand how much livestock and wildlife movement adds to its spread, the authors say. They add that if it is not kept in check, Prosopis is likely to continue spreading there. It is also used for fuelwood and charcoal. Ethiopia has declared it a noxious weed and published a national management strategy, even though the tree provides firewood and charcoal.

 
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