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The Simpsons to Allan Lichtman, here's who wrongly predicted outcome of US presidential election

Before Donald Trump’s victory, there were some who predicted Kamala Harris would win the election, and clearly, they were wrong.

Published on: Nov 6, 2024, 14:37:02 IST
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A triumphant Donald Trump is rejoicing after winning the White House following a long battle with first Joe Biden, and then Kamala Harris when Biden dropped out of the race. Trump took the stage at his West Palm Beach, Florida election night watch party, and promised a “bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer and stronger” future for the country. “I will not let you down,” he said.

The Simpsons to Allan Lichtman, here's who wrongly predicted outcome of US presidential election (REUTERS)
The Simpsons to Allan Lichtman, here's who wrongly predicted outcome of US presidential election (REUTERS)

Supporters cheered in the room, and applauded and cried out loud as Fox News screens declared that Trump had won. One supporter, pointing and seemingly crying, was heard saying, “That’s God!” as reported by New York Post. World leaders congratulated Trump, including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and El Salvador President Nayib Bukele.

However, before Trump’s win, there were some who predicted Kamala Harris would win. Clearly, they were wrong.

Here are some whose predictions failed:

Allan Lichtman, a historian and author with a track record of poll predictions had predicted that Harris has the winning chance in this US election race. Lichtman had asserted that Harris could emerge as a “path-breaking” president who could symbolise a new era in American leadership.

An opinion poll from Iowa had predicted that Harris would claim a surprise victory in the state in the presidential election.The Des Moines Register/Selzer poll is rated among the most accurate in the US, with a history of correct political predictions. This time, however, it was wrong.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Sumanti Sen

Sumanti Sen covers everything that’s happening in the US, from politics to entertainment, but her expertise lies in covering crime news. She has comprehensively chronicled the Idaho student murders, the Laken Riley and Iryna Zarutska cases, and the killing of Charlie Kirk, among other incidents. Over the years, she has interviewed several victims/families of victims of crimes seeking justice. She digs up stories that might otherwise remain unheard, and does her bit to ensure that victims and survivors’ voices are heard. Sumanti’s many years of experience also include interviews with Hamas attack survivors and mental health experts, among others. Her coverage of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and interviews with survivors of the tragedy, coupled with her other works including the Titan submersible coverage, earned her the Digi Journo of the Quarter award during her first year at Hindustan Times. Sumanti actively tracks missing person cases in the United States, and peruses Reddit and other social media platforms to bring to light cases that frequently elude public attention. She has extensively covered the disappearances of Nancy Guthrie, Thomas Medlin, Beau Mann, and Sudiksha Konanki, among others. When not at work, you will either find her with her novels, or with her beloved rescue pooches.

Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026.
Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026.
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