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US 2024 election: New poll shows Kamala Harris, Donald Trump locked in tight race in four swing states

US 2024 election: Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied in four swing states, according to a new survey.

Published on: Sep 25, 2024, 21:51:43 IST
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As US presidential elections are set to take place on November 5, several polls have revealed the voters' choice between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to a new survey, both the Democratic and Republican candidates are tied in four swing states.

While Harris and Trump received 47 percent support in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they got 45 percent backing in Nevada.
While Harris and Trump received 47 percent support in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they got 45 percent backing in Nevada.

From 2006 to 2016, 38 of the 50 states have supported the same political party in elections. A few “swing states,” sometimes referred to as “purple” or “battleground” states, usually determine the outcome of an election. The seven key states in this year's election include Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, and North Carolina.

Harris, Trump neck-and-neck in WH race

There is a deadlock between Harris and Trump for support in four of these battleground states -- Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, according to a Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll of 9,794 swing state voters, which was released on September 23 for The Telegraph.

While Harris and Trump received 47 percent support in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, they got 45 percent backing in Nevada.

Additionally, Florida, where Trump was ahead by five points, and Minnesota, where Harris topped by six, were included in the poll.

Also Read: Donald Trump mocked for being ‘obsessed’ with Kamala Harris' McDonald's job as he declares 'I'm gonna go to…'

2024 election will be the closest-ever in US history

Several polls have indicated that the 2024 election will be the closest-ever in American history. The most recent polls frequently show Harris and Trump divided by percentage points in various states as well as nationwide, all within the poll's margin of error, which is at least three.

Andrew Wroe, a professor in American politics at the University of Kent in the United States, told Newsweek that the outcome of swing states will decide the winner of this election.

According to Wroe, political junkies take great interest in state polls. “What they see is that swing-state polls show that race is much tighter than the national polls indicate.”

Earlier, RealClearPolling, an aggregator, showed Harris receiving 49.4 percent of the vote, compared to 47.2 percent for Trump.

If a candidate for president does not receive 270 of the 538 Electoral College votes, a total determined by the number of delegates from each state in the Senate and House of Representatives, they may win this contest but still lose the presidency.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shweta Kukreti

Shweta Kukreti has over 8 years of experience in covering Indian and world politics. She joined the Hindustan Times in 2024 and is primarily assigned to the US desk. She currently works as Deputy Chief Content Producer and reports on a wide range of topics, including US politics, immigration issues (especially H-1B visa) and major global events. Shweta strongly emphasizes team operations, which encompasses monitoring news, delegating tasks, editing, developing comprehensive coverage strategies, and crafting engaging, and data-informed narratives. She received the Digi Star Award at the Hindustan Times within a year of joining for her broad coverage of US politics. In 2025, she earned both a promotion and a redesignation, a significant achievement recognising her contributions and the strong value she brings to the team. She has previously worked with the Indian Express, HTDS, ANI and Republic World. Seniors in all the media organisations recognised her work. Regarding education, she earned a BA (Hons.) in Political Science and a master's degree from Delhi University, and she pursued a PG Diploma in English Journalism from the Indian Institution of Mass Communication (IIMC). She also holds a diploma in Women's Empowerment and Development from IGNOU University and a French certification course from Alliance Française de Delhi. If not working, you can find her exploring the hills and engaging in adventurous activities in Rishikesh and Himachal Pradesh. She loves to play badminton, volleyball, and chess, and spend time with her friends and family. She also enjoys spiritual activities.

Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026.
Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026.
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